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Zamora vs UD Logrones - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Ruta de la Plata, Zamora
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Sub
Mari Sanchez M. In: Maroto M.
Out: Mari Sanchez M.
42' Event
Morales A.
45' Event
Indias I.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 game between Zamora and UD Logrones finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Logrones.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Zamora
30%
Draws
41%
UD Logrones
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UD Logrones

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • UD Logrones carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Zamora taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • UD Logrones have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Zamora Clean Sheet 17%
UD Logrones Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zamora UD Logrones
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.28 2.18
Goals Conceded 1 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Zamora vs UD Logrones
1:2
May 8, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 1
UD Logrones vs Zamora
4:1
Sep 11, 2021 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Zamora vs UD Logrones
1:4
Jan 25, 2015 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
UD Logrones vs Zamora
3:1
Sep 6, 2014 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Zamora vs UD Logrones
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zamora Compare

Top Goalscorer Indias I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

UD Logrones Compare

Top Goalscorer Morales A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santana I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zamora 41 / 100
UD Logrones 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zamora UD Logrones

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zamora scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Zamora went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

UD Logrones's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zamora VS UD Logrones
1.25 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zamora

(Home)
01 Nov
Zamora
1 : 3
Deportivo Fabril
29 Oct
Coruxo FC
0 : 2
Zamora
24 Oct
Cacereno
1 : 0
Zamora
17 Oct
Zamora
1 : 1
Ponferradina
10 Oct
Mirandes
1 : 1
Zamora
Page 1 of 6

UD Logrones

(Away)
31 Oct
UD Logrones
0 : 1
Mirandes
24 Oct
Real Aviles
1 : 3
UD Logrones
18 Oct
UD Logrones
1 : 1
Leonesa
12 Oct
Lugo
3 : 1
UD Logrones
04 Oct
UD Logrones
2 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugo 11 9 1 1 19:9 28
2 UD Logrones 10 6 2 2 20:13 20
3 Real Aviles 11 5 2 4 23:15 17
4 Mirandes 10 5 2 3 13:10 17
5 Racing Club Ferrol 10 5 2 3 9:7 17
6 CD Extremadura 11 5 1 5 21:15 16
7 Ath Bilbao B 10 4 3 3 17:13 15
8 Pontevedra 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
9 Cacereno 11 4 3 4 9:9 15
10 Ponferradina 10 3 5 2 6:6 14
11 Real Union 10 3 4 3 19:17 13
12 AD Merida 10 4 1 5 16:14 13
13 Leonesa 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
14 Zamora 10 3 3 4 11:12 12
15 Barakaldo 10 2 5 3 8:10 11
16 Deportivo Fabril 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
17 Unionistas de Salamanca 10 3 1 6 12:18 10
18 CD Coria 10 2 3 5 12:17 9
19 UD Ourense 10 2 2 6 4:15 8
20 Arenas Getxo 10 2 2 6 8:22 8
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)