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Zamudio vs SD Erandio Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2014/2015 game between Zamudio and SD Erandio finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SD Erandio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Zamudio
15%
Draws
51%
SD Erandio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SD Erandio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • SD Erandio have managed 0.97 goals a game lately — Zamudio are scoring more at 1.16.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Zamudio Clean Sheet 14%
SD Erandio Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zamudio SD Erandio
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.16 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.05 1.62
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zamudio vs SD Erandio
0:1
Oct 26, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Erandio vs Zamudio
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zamudio 31 / 100
SD Erandio 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zamudio SD Erandio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Erandio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zamudio scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: SD Erandio conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

SD Erandio lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zamudio VS SD Erandio
1.25 Goals Scored 0.86
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.86
100% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 29%
50% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Zamudio

(Home)
09 May
UD Aretxabaleta
3 : 1
Zamudio
03 May
Zamudio
0 : 2
Zarautz KE
26 Apr
Zamudio
1 : 1
Santurtzi
16 Apr
Real Sociedad C
3 : 1
Zamudio
12 Apr
Zamudio
7 : 0
Pasaia
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SD Erandio

(Away)
03 Oct
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
SD Erandio
26 Sept
SD Erandio
2 : 0
Amurrio Club
19 Sept
Eibar C
3 : 1
SD Erandio
12 Sept
SD Erandio
0 : 1
Real Union B
05 Sept
Pasaia
0 : 2
SD Erandio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 38 20 15 3 68:27 75
2 Gernika Club 38 21 12 5 54:21 75
3 Arenas Getxo 38 20 11 7 62:31 71
4 SCD Durango 38 20 7 11 43:30 67
5 Beasain 38 18 13 7 52:41 67
6 Zalla UC 38 18 12 8 50:36 66
7 Alaves B 38 16 10 12 52:41 58
8 Real Sociedad C 38 15 12 11 38:32 57
9 Balmaseda 38 16 7 15 43:37 55
10 Santurtzi 38 14 9 15 48:49 51
11 Zamudio 38 13 11 14 53:49 50
12 Aurrera de Vitoria 38 14 7 17 44:48 49
13 Santutxu FC 38 12 10 16 31:43 46
14 Bermeo 38 10 15 13 35:49 45
15 Lagun Onak 38 11 10 17 38:43 43
16 Basconia 38 10 12 16 44:57 42
17 Pasaia 38 10 8 20 35:49 38
18 SD Erandio 38 9 5 24 33:62 32
19 Oiartzun 38 5 11 22 24:55 26
20 Amurrio Club 38 5 9 24 25:72 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)