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Zanaco vs NAPSA Stars - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zanaco host NAPSA Stars in the Super League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. NAPSA Stars have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Zanaco have conceded 1.03 and scored 0.86. Head-to-head, Zanaco have won 0 to NAPSA Stars's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 11, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (0.56 xG vs 1.25) point toward NAPSA Stars. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Zanaco
30%
Draws
37%
NAPSA Stars
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: NAPSA Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Zanaco have won more games recently than NAPSA Stars.
  • Win probability leans NAPSA Stars's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and NAPSA Stars have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Zanaco Clean Sheet 19%
NAPSA Stars Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zanaco NAPSA Stars
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 10
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.86 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Zanaco vs NAPSA Stars
0:2
May 12, 2026 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Zanaco
2:0
Jan 15, 2026 Super League
Zanaco vs NAPSA Stars
0:2
Mar 13, 2025 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Zanaco
1:0
Nov 9, 2024 Super League
Zanaco vs NAPSA Stars
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zanaco 20 / 100
NAPSA Stars 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zanaco NAPSA Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAPSA Stars Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: NAPSA Stars conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Zanaco has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Zanaco found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Zanaco VS NAPSA Stars
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zanaco

(Home)
03 Oct
Nchanga Rangers
0 : 1
Zanaco
11 Sept
Zanaco
0 : 2
NAPSA Stars
24 May
Zesco
6 : 1
Zanaco
20 May
Kabwe
0 : 0
Zanaco
16 May
Zanaco
1 : 0
Nchanga Rangers
Page 1 of 6

NAPSA Stars

(Away)
03 Oct
NAPSA Stars
1 : 1
Muza Fc
12 Sept
Prison Leopards
2 : 1
NAPSA Stars
11 Sept
Zanaco
0 : 2
NAPSA Stars
24 May
NAPSA Stars
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
17 May
Konkola Blades
0 : 0
NAPSA Stars
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Konkola Blades 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Zanaco 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Nkana 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 NAPSA Stars 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Muza Fc 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Kansanshi 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Makeni All Stars 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Power Dynamos 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
9 Nchanga Rangers 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
10 Trident 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Green Eagles 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Red Arrows 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Green Buffaloes FC 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 Roan United 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Zesco 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Kabwe 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Nkwazi 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
8 Mutondo Stars 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
9 Chirundu United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
10 Mufulira Wanderers 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)