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Zapotlanejo vs Apodaca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A
Zapotlanejo Logo

Zapotlanejo

4 - 1
FT
Apodaca Logo

Apodaca

Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Cuevas A.
49' Event
Guareno D.
54' Event
Vallejo E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zapotlanejo in this Liga Premier Serie A matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zapotlanejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Zapotlanejo
15%
Draws
20%
Apodaca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zapotlanejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Apodaca lately — more wins on the board than Zapotlanejo.
  • Model gives Zapotlanejo a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Zapotlanejo Clean Sheet 17%
Apodaca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zapotlanejo Apodaca
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 1 4
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.59 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.52 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Zapotlanejo vs Apodaca
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zapotlanejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuevas A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guareno D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Apodaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz Lara B. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zapotlanejo 39 / 100
Apodaca 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zapotlanejo Apodaca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zapotlanejo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Zapotlanejo scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Zapotlanejo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Apodaca registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zapotlanejo VS Apodaca
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zapotlanejo

(Home)
01 Oct
Heroes de Zaci
0 : 1
Zapotlanejo
25 Sept
Zapotlanejo
1 : 0
FC Santiago
19 Sept
Correcaminos 2
1 : 1
Zapotlanejo
12 Sept
Zapotlanejo
4 : 1
Apodaca
06 Sept
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
4 : 0
Zapotlanejo
Page 1 of 6

Apodaca

(Away)
04 Oct
Apodaca
1 : 2
Vaqueros
27 Sept
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
3 : 1
Apodaca
20 Sept
Apodaca
2 : 0
Guerreros de Autlan
12 Sept
Zapotlanejo
4 : 1
Apodaca
06 Sept
Apodaca
2 : 3
Saltillo Soccer F.C.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Tribu de Cd. Juarez 6 4 0 2 15:8 13
2 Zapotlanejo 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Vaqueros 6 4 1 1 11:8 13
4 Mineros de Fresnillo 6 3 2 1 8:2 11
5 Correcaminos 2 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
6 Guerreros de Autlan 6 2 1 3 10:12 8
7 Saltillo Soccer F.C. 6 3 0 3 9:15 8
8 FC Santiago 6 2 1 3 9:7 7
9 Apodaca 6 1 1 4 7:12 4
10 Heroes de Zaci 6 0 1 5 3:12 2
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artesanos Metepec 6 6 0 0 16:4 19
2 Dragones de Oaxaca 6 4 1 1 14:7 15
3 Halcones Negros 6 3 1 2 17:4 11
4 Acambaro 6 3 1 2 16:8 10
5 CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
6 Guerreros del Pacifico 5 2 1 2 4:4 8
7 Calor De San Pedro 5 2 1 2 7:12 8
8 Real Refineros 6 2 1 3 9:10 7
9 Ciervos 6 1 0 5 3:19 2
10 Canoneros FC 6 0 0 6 1:19 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)