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Zapresic vs Jarun - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zapresic host Jarun in the Druga NL. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Jarun have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while Zapresic have conceded 1.65 and scored 1.18. Head-to-head, Zapresic have won 0 to Jarun's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 8, 2022, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.88) back Jarun to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Zapresic
35%
Draws
42%
Jarun
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jarun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Jarun carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Jarun's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Druga NL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Zapresic Clean Sheet 10%
Jarun Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zapresic Jarun
Matches Played 17 27
Wins 5 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.18 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2022 Prva NL
Zapresic vs Jarun
0:0
Mar 12, 2022 Prva NL
Jarun vs Zapresic
1:1
Jan 19, 2022 Club Friendly
Zapresic vs Jarun
0:2
Sep 15, 2021 Prva NL
Zapresic vs Jarun
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zapresic 26 / 100
Jarun 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zapresic Jarun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jarun Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jarun has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Zapresic went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Zapresic scored in 53% of their last 17 outings.

H2H data points to 1.25 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Zapresic VS Jarun
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zapresic

(Home)
03 Oct
Zapresic
0 : 0
Bjelovar
26 Sept
Dugo Selo
3 : 0
Zapresic
19 Sept
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
0 : 2
Zapresic
12 Sept
Zapresic
2 : 3
Uskok Klis
05 Sept
Grobnican
2 : 2
Zapresic
Page 1 of 4

Jarun

(Away)
26 Sept
Jarun
3 : 0
Grobnican
19 Sept
Radnik Krizevci
2 : 2
Jarun
12 Sept
Jarun
3 : 3
Trnje
05 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
0 : 1
Jarun
29 Aug
Jarun
4 : 4
Zagora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uskok Klis 7 5 0 2 18:7 15
2 Bjelovar 7 4 2 1 16:9 14
3 Uljanik Pula 8 4 2 2 17:16 14
4 Trnje 7 4 1 2 12:7 13
5 Dugo Selo 7 4 1 2 11:6 13
6 Solin 7 3 2 2 11:9 11
7 Jarun 6 2 4 0 14:10 10
8 Radnik Krizevci 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
9 Dragovoljac 8 3 1 4 9:13 10
10 Zagora 7 2 3 2 17:16 9
11 Slavonija Pozega 7 2 2 3 13:13 8
12 Zapresic 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
13 Grobnican 7 2 1 4 9:17 7
14 Lucko 7 1 2 4 7:10 5
15 NK Koprivnica 7 1 2 4 9:17 5
16 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 7 1 2 4 5:13 5
Promotion - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)