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Zapresic vs Jarun

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL 2022/2023 Stadion ŠRC Zaprešić, Zaprešić
Zapresic Logo

Zapresic

Sat, Oct 8, 2022
VS
03:30 PM
Jarun Logo

Jarun

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zapresic host Jarun in the Prva NL 2022/2023. Little to choose between these two on current form. Jarun have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Zapresic have conceded 1.11 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor Jarun slightly — 0-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 8, 2022, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.17 xG vs 0.93) point toward Zapresic. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Zapresic
35%
Draws
41%
Jarun
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jarun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Jarun haven't matched Zapresic's recent run of results.
  • Jarun are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Zapresic Clean Sheet 20%
Jarun Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zapresic Jarun
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 12
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2022 Prva NL
Zapresic vs Jarun
0:0
Mar 12, 2022 Prva NL
Jarun vs Zapresic
1:1
Jan 19, 2022 Club Friendly
Zapresic vs Jarun
0:2
Sep 15, 2021 Prva NL
Zapresic vs Jarun
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zapresic 20 / 100
Jarun 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zapresic Jarun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jarun Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jarun's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Zapresic scored in 74% of their last 19 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.

Zapresic has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jarun
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zapresic

(Home)
16 Aug
Segesta
3 : 0
Zapresic
14 Feb
NK Brezice
2 : 2
Zapresic
19 Oct
NK Nedelisce
3 : 0
Zapresic
28 May
Zapresic
0 : 1
Solin
22 May
Dinamo Zagreb 2
0 : 2
Zapresic
Page 1 of 4

Jarun

(Away)
19 Sept
Radnik Krizevci
2 : 2
Jarun
12 Sept
Jarun
3 : 3
Trnje
05 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
0 : 1
Jarun
29 Aug
Jarun
4 : 4
Zagora
22 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Jarun
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rudes 33 19 7 7 56:26 64
2 Vukovar 1991 33 17 12 4 57:25 63
3 Cibalia 33 13 15 5 37:26 54
4 Bijelo Brdo 33 12 8 13 41:37 44
5 Jarun 33 13 5 15 43:57 44
6 Orijent 33 10 13 10 45:45 43
7 Croatia Zmijavci 33 12 7 14 37:44 43
8 Solin 33 12 7 14 47:55 43
9 Dubrava Zagreb 33 11 9 13 38:39 42
10 Dugopolje 33 9 14 10 30:35 41
11 Kustosija 33 9 7 17 35:50 34
12 Dragovoljac 33 4 10 19 32:59 22
Promotion - HNL 2023/2024 (Main)
Relegation - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga NL 2023/2024 (Main)