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Zapy vs Varnsdorf - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. CFL - Group B Teletník Aréna, Zápy
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Ahile T.
28'
Sub
Hudak J. In: Berezka D.
Out: Hudak J.
39' Event
Vandas P.

AI Match Summary

The 3. CFL - Group B game between Zapy and Varnsdorf finished 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Zapy
30%
Draws
41%
Varnsdorf
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varnsdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Varnsdorf come out ahead of Zapy on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular 3. CFL - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Zapy Clean Sheet 13%
Varnsdorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zapy Varnsdorf
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.21 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 3. CFL - Group B
Zapy vs Varnsdorf
4:4
Mar 29, 2026 3. CFL - Group B
Varnsdorf vs Zapy
3:0
Aug 31, 2025 3. CFL - Group B
Zapy vs Varnsdorf
5:0
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Varnsdorf vs Zapy
5:0
Feb 18, 2023 Club Friendly
Zapy vs Varnsdorf
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zapy Compare

Top Goalscorer Vandas P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matejka T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Varnsdorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahile T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Berezka D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zapy 35 / 100
Varnsdorf 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zapy Varnsdorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varnsdorf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zapy's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Varnsdorf conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Zapy stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zapy VS Varnsdorf
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zapy

(Home)
01 Nov
Benatky n. Jiz.
0 : 0
Zapy
25 Oct
Zapy
0 : 4
Pardubice B
18 Oct
Teplice B
1 : 2
Zapy
11 Oct
Zapy
2 : 3
Caslav
04 Oct
Brozany
0 : 0
Zapy
Page 1 of 6

Varnsdorf

(Away)
01 Nov
Caslav
2 : 2
Varnsdorf
28 Oct
Varnsdorf
1 : 3
Horni Redice
25 Oct
Varnsdorf
3 : 2
Brozany
17 Oct
Banik Most-Sous
1 : 0
Varnsdorf
11 Oct
Varnsdorf
2 : 1
Hradec Kralove B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jablonec B 13 9 3 1 32:12 30
2 Mlada Boleslav B 13 9 2 2 36:12 29
3 Zapy 13 7 4 2 27:18 25
4 Benatky n. Jiz. 13 5 7 1 20:11 22
5 Pardubice B 12 6 2 4 27:13 20
6 Neratovice 13 5 4 4 19:19 19
7 Varnsdorf 13 5 4 4 21:22 19
8 Banik Most-Sous 13 5 2 6 19:14 17
9 Chrudim 13 4 4 5 19:28 16
10 Caslav 13 4 4 5 15:25 16
11 Hradec Kralove B 13 3 4 6 11:14 13
12 Liberec B 13 3 4 6 16:24 13
13 Teplice B 13 4 1 8 19:28 13
14 Horni Redice 12 4 0 8 13:26 12
15 Brozany 13 2 5 6 17:24 11
16 Velke Hamry 13 2 2 9 12:33 8
Promotion - 3. CFL - Group A (Play Offs)