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Zapy vs Varnsdorf

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. CFL - Group B Teletník Aréna, Zápy
Sat, Sep 12, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zapy host Varnsdorf in the 3. CFL - Group B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Zapy have averaged 2.39 scored and 1.09 conceded recently, against Varnsdorf's 2.24 scored and 1.24 conceded. Head-to-head, Zapy have won 3 to Varnsdorf's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.44) point toward Varnsdorf. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Zapy
15%
Draws
46%
Varnsdorf
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varnsdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Varnsdorf have managed 2.24 goals a game lately — Zapy are scoring more at 2.39.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Zapy taking it.
  • Regular 3. CFL - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Zapy Clean Sheet 16%
Varnsdorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zapy Varnsdorf
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 20 20
Draws 5 3
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2.39 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 3. CFL - Group B
Varnsdorf vs Zapy
3:0
Aug 31, 2025 3. CFL - Group B
Zapy vs Varnsdorf
5:0
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Varnsdorf vs Zapy
5:0
Feb 18, 2023 Club Friendly
Zapy vs Varnsdorf
1:0
Feb 29, 2020 Club Friendly
Zapy vs Varnsdorf
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zapy 41 / 100
Varnsdorf 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zapy Varnsdorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zapy's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Solid form: Zapy remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Varnsdorf's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zapy VS Varnsdorf
2.25 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zapy

(Home)
05 Sept
Mlada Boleslav B
2 : 3
Zapy
30 Aug
Zapy
1 : 1
Jablonec B
25 Aug
Zapy
2 : 3
Bohemians 1905
15 Aug
Velke Hamry
0 : 2
Zapy
12 Aug
Hermanuv Mestec
0 : 3
Zapy
Page 1 of 7

Varnsdorf

(Away)
06 Sept
Varnsdorf
3 : 1
Velke Hamry
29 Aug
Neratovice
1 : 2
Varnsdorf
25 Aug
Varnsdorf
1 : 0
Usti nad Labem
15 Aug
Chrudim
3 : 1
Varnsdorf
12 Aug
Brandys nad Labem
1 : 2
Varnsdorf
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jablonec B 5 3 2 0 12:2 11
2 Zapy 4 3 1 0 12:3 10
3 Teplice B 5 3 1 1 11:8 10
4 Mlada Boleslav B 5 3 0 2 18:6 9
5 Varnsdorf 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
6 Pardubice B 4 2 1 1 10:3 7
7 Banik Most-Sous 4 2 0 2 7:3 6
8 Hradec Kralove B 5 1 3 1 3:3 6
9 Horni Redice 4 2 0 2 2:8 6
10 Benatky n. Jiz. 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
11 Chrudim 5 1 2 2 6:10 5
12 Neratovice 5 1 2 2 4:10 5
13 Brozany 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
14 Liberec B 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
15 Caslav 4 0 1 3 0:10 1
16 Velke Hamry 5 0 0 5 2:16 0
Promotion - 3. CFL - Group A (Play Offs)