Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zaqatala PFK vs Bakili Baku

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zaqatala PFK in this First Division 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zaqatala PFK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Zaqatala PFK
30%
Draws
34%
Bakili Baku
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zaqatala PFK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zaqatala PFK lately — more wins on the board than Bakili Baku.
  • Win probability leans Zaqatala PFK's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zaqatala PFK here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Zaqatala PFK Clean Sheet 20%
Bakili Baku Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaqatala PFK Bakili Baku
Matches Played 48 35
Wins 18 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 24 25
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2017 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Bakili Baku
5:1
Oct 5, 2016 I Liqa
Bakili Baku vs Zaqatala PFK
3:6
Mar 25, 2016 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Bakili Baku
3:1
Oct 30, 2015 I Liqa
Bakili Baku vs Zaqatala PFK
3:1
Apr 11, 2009 Premier League
Zaqatala PFK vs Bakili Baku
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaqatala PFK 36 / 100
Bakili Baku 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaqatala PFK Bakili Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bakili Baku conceded in 89% of 35 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Zaqatala PFK's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 48 recent games.

Difficult form: Bakili Baku registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zaqatala PFK VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zaqatala PFK

(Home)
22 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 1
Safa Baku
15 May
Baku Sporting
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
06 May
Zaqatala PFK
0 : 3
Sabail
29 Apr
Mingachevir
7 : 1
Zaqatala PFK
22 Apr
Zaqatala PFK
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
Page 1 of 10

Bakili Baku

(Away)
27 Apr
Bakili Baku
1 : 7
Sabail
21 Apr
Mingachevir
1 : 1
Bakili Baku
14 Apr
Bakili Baku
4 : 0
Goyazan Qazax
09 Apr
Lokbatan
6 : 1
Bakili Baku
30 Mar
Sahdag Qusar
3 : 0
Bakili Baku
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ANSAD Neftcala26202474:2062
2Lokbatan26184459:2858
3Agsu (Inactive)26138546:2947
4MOIK Baku26145753:2447
5Shamkir26108830:2438
6Zaqatala PFK2699847:3636
7Turan261061035:3136
8Imisli FK26881028:2632
9FK Baku26931433:4230
10Bakili Baku26861234:4630
11Sahdag Qusar26861231:5430
12Sharurspor26841445:4428
13Goyazan Qazax26381517:4217
14Mingachevir26431914:10015
Promotion - Premier League 2016/2017 (Main)