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Zaqatala PFK vs Karvan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Wed, Dec 16, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zaqatala PFK host Karvan in the I Liqa. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Zaqatala PFK have averaged 0.97 scored and 2.03 conceded recently, against Karvan's 1.03 scored and 1.67 conceded. Past meetings favor Karvan slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 16, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 2.25, favoring Karvan. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Zaqatala PFK
20%
Draws
73%
Karvan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karvan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Zaqatala PFK have managed 0.97 goals a game lately — Karvan are scoring more at 1.03.
  • Model gives Karvan a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Zaqatala PFK Clean Sheet 10%
Karvan Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaqatala PFK Karvan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 0.97 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 I Liqa
Karvan vs Zaqatala PFK
3:0
May 9, 2025 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Karvan
3:0
Mar 7, 2025 I Liqa
Karvan vs Zaqatala PFK
3:2
Dec 13, 2024 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Karvan
2:2
Apr 5, 2024 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Karvan
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaqatala PFK 10 / 100
Karvan 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaqatala PFK Karvan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karvan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karvan let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Zaqatala PFK scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Zaqatala PFK went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zaqatala PFK VS Karvan
1 Goals Scored 1.38
3.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zaqatala PFK

(Home)
05 Nov
Zaqatala PFK
1 : 1
MOIK Baku
27 Oct
Marafon
1 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
22 Oct
Gancabasar
7 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
15 Oct
Zaqatala PFK
1 : 3
Sabail
07 Oct
Sahdag Qusar
6 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
Page 1 of 6

Karvan

(Away)
05 Nov
Karvan
4 : 1
Shimal
29 Oct
Zangazur (Am)
1 : 4
Karvan
22 Oct
MOIK Baku
3 : 1
Karvan
16 Oct
Karvan
2 : 1
Gancabasar
08 Oct
Sabail
1 : 1
Karvan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gancabasar 6 5 0 1 17:4 15
2 Sahdag Qusar 6 5 0 1 14:2 15
3 MOIK Baku 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
4 Sabail 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
5 Karvan 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
6 Shimal 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
7 FC Khankendi 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
8 Mingachevir 6 1 1 4 5:14 4
9 Zaqatala PFK 6 1 1 4 6:21 4
10 Baku Sporting 6 0 0 6 3:17 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)