Sport Picks
Zaqatala PFK vs Karvan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Zaqatala PFK host Karvan in the I Liqa. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Zaqatala PFK have averaged 0.97 scored and 2.03 conceded recently, against Karvan's 1.03 scored and 1.67 conceded. Past meetings favor Karvan slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 16, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 2.25, favoring Karvan. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Zaqatala PFK have managed 0.97 goals a game lately — Karvan are scoring more at 1.03.
- Model gives Karvan a 73% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zaqatala PFK | Karvan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Karvan let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Zaqatala PFK scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Zaqatala PFK went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Zaqatala PFK
(Home)Karvan
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gancabasar | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Sahdag Qusar | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | 15 |
| 3 | MOIK Baku | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Sabail | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 5 | Karvan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 6 | Shimal | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 8 |
| 7 | FC Khankendi | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 8 | Mingachevir | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:14 | 4 |
| 9 | Zaqatala PFK | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:21 | 4 |
| 10 | Baku Sporting | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:17 | 0 |