Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zaqatala PFK vs MOIK Baku - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Wed, Nov 4, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zaqatala PFK host MOIK Baku in the I Liqa. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Zaqatala PFK at 1.03 goals for, 1.86 against; MOIK Baku at 1.34 for, 1.52 against. Head-to-head, Zaqatala PFK have won 2 to MOIK Baku's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 15, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.81, favoring MOIK Baku. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Zaqatala PFK
20%
Draws
47%
MOIK Baku
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: MOIK Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and MOIK Baku come out ahead of Zaqatala PFK on wins alone.
  • MOIK Baku are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular I Liqa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Zaqatala PFK Clean Sheet 11%
MOIK Baku Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaqatala PFK MOIK Baku
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Zaqatala PFK
2:1
Dec 17, 2025 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs MOIK Baku
1:3
Sep 25, 2025 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Zaqatala PFK
0:1
May 2, 2025 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs MOIK Baku
1:0
Feb 28, 2025 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Zaqatala PFK
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaqatala PFK 10 / 100
MOIK Baku 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaqatala PFK MOIK Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOIK Baku Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MOIK Baku let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Zaqatala PFK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Zaqatala PFK found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Zaqatala PFK VS MOIK Baku
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zaqatala PFK

(Home)
07 Oct
Sahdag Qusar
6 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
16 Sept
Karvan
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
10 Sept
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0
Baku Sporting
04 Sept
Mingachevir
2 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
22 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 1
Safa Baku
Page 1 of 6

MOIK Baku

(Away)
09 Oct
MOIK Baku
3 : 0
Mingachevir
18 Sept
FC Khankendi
0 : 2
MOIK Baku
11 Sept
MOIK Baku
1 : 1
Shimal
03 Sept
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
21 May
MOIK Baku
4 : 0
Difai Agsu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sahdag Qusar 4 4 0 0 13:1 12
2 Gancabasar 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Sabail 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
4 Karvan 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
5 MOIK Baku 4 2 1 1 6:2 7
6 Zaqatala PFK 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
7 FC Khankendi 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
8 Shimal 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
9 Mingachevir 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
10 Baku Sporting 4 0 0 4 0:9 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)