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Zaqatala PFK vs Sahdag Qusar Prediction & H2H Stats

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Agalarov S.

AI Match Summary

Sahdag Qusar in this I Liqa 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sahdag Qusar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Zaqatala PFK
30%
Draws
43%
Sahdag Qusar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sahdag Qusar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sahdag Qusar lately — more wins on the board than Zaqatala PFK.
  • Model gives Sahdag Qusar a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular I Liqa 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Zaqatala PFK Clean Sheet 10%
Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaqatala PFK Sahdag Qusar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.66 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Sahdag Qusar
0:1
Feb 25, 2026 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Zaqatala PFK
1:0
Nov 20, 2025 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Sahdag Qusar
1:0
Feb 27, 2017 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Zaqatala PFK
1:1
Sep 7, 2016 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Sahdag Qusar
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zaqatala PFK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sahdag Qusar Compare

Top Goalscorer Agalarov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaqatala PFK 14 / 100
Sahdag Qusar 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaqatala PFK Sahdag Qusar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sahdag Qusar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zaqatala PFK scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Zaqatala PFK has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sahdag Qusar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zaqatala PFK VS Sahdag Qusar
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.13
88% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zaqatala PFK

(Home)
16 Sept
Karvan
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
10 Sept
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0
Baku Sporting
04 Sept
Mingachevir
2 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
22 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 1
Safa Baku
15 May
Baku Sporting
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
Page 1 of 6

Sahdag Qusar

(Away)
17 Sept
Shimal
1 : 4
Sahdag Qusar
09 Sept
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Karvan
03 Sept
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1
Baku Sporting
15 May
Sabail
0 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Safa Baku 27 16 9 2 52:21 57
2 Mingachevir 27 15 6 6 55:27 51
3 Sabail 27 14 8 5 46:21 50
4 Baku Sporting 27 13 10 4 40:23 49
5 Sahdag Qusar 27 12 7 8 36:27 43
6 MOIK Baku 27 9 6 12 33:40 33
7 Zaqatala PFK 27 8 4 15 27:44 28
8 Gancabasar 27 7 3 17 40:56 24
9 Shimal 27 5 5 17 23:61 20
10 Difai Agsu 27 4 6 17 28:60 18
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2025/2026 (Relegation)