Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

I Liqa

Zaqatala PFK

0 - 1

Sahdag Qusar

Our Tip

Match Events

69'

Agalarov S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sahdag Qusar in this I Liqa matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sahdag Qusar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Zaqatala PFK

Draws

90%

Sahdag Qusar

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sahdag Qusar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Sahdag Qusar lately — more wins on the board than Zaqatala PFK.
Model gives Sahdag Qusar a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular I Liqa form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

Zaqatala PFK Clean Sheet 13%

Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zaqatala PFK	Sahdag Qusar
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	13
Draws	4	7
Losses	18	10
Goals Scored	1	1.13
Goals Conceded	2.25	0.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 I Liqa

Zaqatala PFK vs Sahdag Qusar

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Feb 25, 2026 I Liqa

Sahdag Qusar vs Zaqatala PFK

Possession: 46% - 43% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Nov 20, 2025 I Liqa

Zaqatala PFK vs Sahdag Qusar

Possession: 41% - 51% Cards: 0 - 4

1:0

Feb 27, 2017 I Liqa

Sahdag Qusar vs Zaqatala PFK

Possession: 47% - 40% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Sep 7, 2016 I Liqa

Zaqatala PFK vs Sahdag Qusar

Possession: 55% - 52% Cards: 0 - 2

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zaqatala PFK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Sahdag Qusar Compare

Top Goalscorer Agalarov S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaqatala PFK 10 / 100

Sahdag Qusar 85 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zaqatala PFK Sahdag Qusar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAH Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sahdag Qusar let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Zaqatala PFK scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Zaqatala PFK stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zaqatala PFK VS Sahdag Qusar

1 Goals Scored 1.13

2.25 Goals Conceded 0.25

50% Over 1.5 38%

50% Over 2.5 13%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Safa Baku	27	16	9	2	52:21	57
2	Mingachevir	27	15	6	6	55:27	51
3	Sabail	27	14	8	5	46:21	50
4	Baku Sporting	27	13	10	4	40:23	49
5	Sahdag Qusar	27	12	7	8	36:27	43
6	MOIK Baku	27	9	6	12	33:40	33
7	Zaqatala PFK	27	8	4	15	27:44	28
8	Cebrayil	27	7	3	17	40:56	24
9	Shimal	27	5	5	17	23:61	20
10	Difai Agsu	27	4	6	17	28:60	18