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Zaragoza CFF W vs Athletic Bilbao B W

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Club Friendly Women 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zaragoza CFF W play Athletic Bilbao B W in the Club Friendly Women 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zaragoza CFF W averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Athletic Bilbao B W averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Zaragoza CFF W won 0, Athletic Bilbao B W won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 20, 2023 ended 1:7. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Zaragoza CFF W and 0.86 for Athletic Bilbao B W. This points to a Zaragoza CFF W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Zaragoza CFF W
24%
Draws
34%
Athletic Bilbao B W
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Zaragoza CFF W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Zaragoza CFF W picked up more points recently compared to Athletic Bilbao B W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Zaragoza CFF W Clean Sheet 25%
Athletic Bilbao B W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaragoza CFF W Athletic Bilbao B W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 7
Draws 3 9
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.47 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.34

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2023 Club Friendly Women
Zaragoza CFF W vs Athletic Bilbao B W
1:7
May 1, 2022 Segunda Division Women
Zaragoza CFF W vs Athletic Bilbao B W
2:2
Oct 31, 2021 Segunda Division Women
Athletic Bilbao B W vs Zaragoza CFF W
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaragoza CFF W 43 / 100
Athletic Bilbao B W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaragoza CFF W Athletic Bilbao B W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zaragoza CFF W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zaragoza CFF W attacking → ← attacking Athletic Bilbao B W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zaragoza CFF W scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Athletic Bilbao B W let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 5.67 goals.

Zaragoza CFF W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Athletic Bilbao B W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 30
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13