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Zaragoza vs AD Ceuta

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 2025/2026 Ibercaja Estadio, Zaragoza
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Hernandez C.
22'
Anuar
32' Event
de la Fuente K.
Assist: Anuar

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga2 2025/2026 game between Zaragoza and AD Ceuta finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Zaragoza
15%
Draws
59%
AD Ceuta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Ceuta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Ceuta come out ahead of Zaragoza on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular LaLiga2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Zaragoza Clean Sheet 17%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaragoza AD Ceuta
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 5 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 LaLiga2
Zaragoza vs AD Ceuta
2:2
Sep 21, 2025 LaLiga2
AD Ceuta vs Zaragoza
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zaragoza Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

AD Ceuta Compare

Top Goalscorer de la Fuente K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez Sanchez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaragoza 31 / 100
AD Ceuta 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaragoza AD Ceuta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Ceuta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Zaragoza's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Zaragoza went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zaragoza VS AD Ceuta
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zaragoza

(Home)
06 Aug
Zaragoza
0 : 1
FC Andorra
01 Aug
Zaragoza
1 : 2
UD Barbastro
29 Jul
Zaragoza
2 : 0
Utebo FC
31 May
Zaragoza
0 : 2
Malaga
24 May
Las Palmas
1 : 1
Zaragoza
Page 1 of 6

AD Ceuta

(Away)
07 Aug
AD Ceuta
2 : 1
Malaga
29 Jul
Cadiz
1 : 3
AD Ceuta
26 Jul
Sevilla
2 : 1
AD Ceuta
22 Jul
Torremolinos
1 : 0
AD Ceuta
30 May
AD Ceuta
1 : 0
Albacete
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Santander 42 25 7 10 90:61 82
2 Dep. A Coruna 42 22 11 9 65:44 77
3 Almeria 42 22 8 12 81:63 74
4 Malaga 42 21 10 11 75:52 73
5 Las Palmas 42 20 13 9 57:40 73
6 Castellon 42 20 12 10 70:51 72
7 Burgos CF 42 20 12 10 48:33 72
8 Eibar 42 19 10 13 52:40 67
9 Cordoba 42 17 10 15 57:61 61
10 Gijon 42 18 7 17 60:54 61
11 AD Ceuta 42 17 10 15 51:63 61
12 Albacete 42 16 11 15 56:55 59
13 FC Andorra 42 16 10 16 62:54 58
14 Granada CF 42 12 12 18 50:56 48
15 Real Sociedad B 42 12 11 19 52:61 47
16 Leganes 42 11 13 18 43:51 46
17 Valladolid 42 12 10 20 44:57 46
18 Cadiz 42 11 10 21 41:61 43
19 Mirandes 42 10 10 22 47:69 40
20 Huesca 42 9 11 22 41:63 38
21 Leonesa 42 9 10 23 39:68 37
22 Zaragoza 42 8 12 22 35:59 36
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