Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2011/2012

Alaves B

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zarautz KE play Alaves B in the Tercera Division - Group 4 2011/2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zarautz KE averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Alaves B averaged 1.23 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. In past meetings, Zarautz KE won 1, Alaves B won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 28, 2012 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Zarautz KE and 1.69 for Alaves B. This points to a Alaves B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Zarautz KE

30%

Draws

47%

Alaves B

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alaves B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Zarautz KE picked up more points recently compared to Alaves B.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Zarautz KE Clean Sheet 13%

Alaves B Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zarautz KE	Alaves B
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	15
Draws	5	10
Losses	18	5
Goals Scored	0.97	1.23
Goals Conceded	1.77	0.67
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Zarautz KE vs Alaves B

Possession: 49% - 51% Cards: 1 - 2

2:2

Dec 17, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Alaves B vs Zarautz KE

Possession: 55% - 55% Cards: 1 - 2

5:2

Feb 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Zarautz KE vs Alaves B

Possession: 45% - 51% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Sep 21, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Alaves B vs Zarautz KE

Possession: 42% - 49% Cards: 1 - 0

1:1

Feb 2, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Zarautz KE vs Alaves B

Possession: 52% - 46% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarautz KE 23 / 100

Alaves B 46 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zarautz KE Alaves B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alaves B or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +53.4%

6.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zarautz KE attacking → ← attacking Alaves B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zarautz KE scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Alaves B let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Zarautz KE went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Alaves B lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 55

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Laudio	38	24	5	9	70:24	77
2	Barakaldo	38	22	10	6	58:29	76
3	Portugalete	38	21	11	6	60:29	74
4	Beasain	38	20	12	6	58:34	72
5	Zalla UC	38	20	12	6	57:34	72
6	Gernika Club	38	18	10	10	50:37	64
7	SCD Durango	38	18	9	11	49:41	63
8	Leioa	38	12	19	7	45:37	55
9	Zamudio	38	14	12	12	42:43	54
10	Basconia	38	13	8	17	67:67	47
11	Lagun Onak	38	10	16	12	29:31	46
12	Elgoibar	38	12	9	17	41:49	45
13	Eibar B	38	10	14	14	36:46	44
14	Arenas Getxo	38	11	10	17	45:46	43
15	Santutxu FC	38	9	13	16	36:56	40
16	Balmaseda	38	8	16	14	48:57	40
17	Alaves B	38	11	7	20	49:71	40
18	CD Vitoria	38	6	13	19	43:66	31
19	Hernani	38	6	8	24	31:71	26
20	Zarautz KE	38	4	8	26	28:74	20