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Zarautz KE vs Beasain Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zarautz KE
20%
Draws
40%
Beasain
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Beasain have won more games recently than Zarautz KE.
  • Model gives Zarautz KE a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Zarautz KE Clean Sheet 13%
Beasain Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zarautz KE Beasain
Matches Played 32 40
Wins 7 15
Draws 5 11
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.91 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs Beasain
1:1
Sep 3, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Beasain vs Zarautz KE
0:0
May 7, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Beasain vs Zarautz KE
0:1
Dec 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs Beasain
2:1
Mar 29, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs Beasain
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarautz KE 35 / 100
Beasain 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zarautz KE Beasain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beasain's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 40 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Beasain's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Zarautz KE scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Zarautz KE VS Beasain
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.8 Goals Conceded 1.38
60% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 50%
40% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zarautz KE

(Home)
09 May
Zarautz KE
0 : 1
Derio
03 May
Zamudio
0 : 2
Zarautz KE
25 Apr
Touring KE
2 : 2
Zarautz KE
19 Apr
Zarautz KE
0 : 1
Santurtzi
11 Apr
Alaves C
5 : 1
Zarautz KE
Page 1 of 7

Beasain

(Away)
04 Oct
Derio
2 : 0
Beasain
26 Sept
Beasain
1 : 2
SCD Durango
19 Sept
Touring KE
2 : 0
Beasain
13 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
0 : 0
Beasain
05 Sept
Beasain
2 : 0
Santurtzi
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laudio 38 24 5 9 70:24 77
2 Barakaldo 38 22 10 6 58:29 76
3 Portugalete 38 21 11 6 60:29 74
4 Beasain 38 20 12 6 58:34 72
5 Zalla UC 38 20 12 6 57:34 72
6 Gernika Club 38 18 10 10 50:37 64
7 SCD Durango 38 18 9 11 49:41 63
8 Leioa 38 12 19 7 45:37 55
9 Zamudio 38 14 12 12 42:43 54
10 Basconia 38 13 8 17 67:67 47
11 Lagun Onak 38 10 16 12 29:31 46
12 Elgoibar 38 12 9 17 41:49 45
13 Eibar B 38 10 14 14 36:46 44
14 Arenas Getxo 38 11 10 17 45:46 43
15 Santutxu FC 38 9 13 16 36:56 40
16 Balmaseda 38 8 16 14 48:57 40
17 Alaves B 38 11 7 20 49:71 40
18 CD Vitoria 38 6 13 19 43:66 31
19 Hernani 38 6 8 24 31:71 26
20 Zarautz KE 38 4 8 26 28:74 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)