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Zarautz KE vs Portugalete Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2011/2012 game between Zarautz KE and Portugalete finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portugalete.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Zarautz KE
30%
Draws
47%
Portugalete
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portugalete

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Portugalete carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Portugalete are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Zarautz KE Clean Sheet 14%
Portugalete Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zarautz KE Portugalete
Matches Played 32 40
Wins 7 24
Draws 5 9
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 0.91 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.72 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs Portugalete
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Portugalete vs Zarautz KE
6:0
Mar 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs Portugalete
1:2
Oct 30, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Portugalete vs Zarautz KE
0:1
Apr 21, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs Portugalete
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarautz KE 27 / 100
Portugalete 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zarautz KE Portugalete

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugalete Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Zarautz KE scored in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Portugalete let in goals in 57% of their last 40 matches.

Zarautz KE has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zarautz KE VS Portugalete
0.83 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
33% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zarautz KE

(Home)
09 May
Zarautz KE
0 : 1
Derio
03 May
Zamudio
0 : 2
Zarautz KE
25 Apr
Touring KE
2 : 2
Zarautz KE
19 Apr
Zarautz KE
0 : 1
Santurtzi
11 Apr
Alaves C
5 : 1
Zarautz KE
Page 1 of 7

Portugalete

(Away)
27 Sept
Bergantinos
3 : 2
Portugalete
19 Sept
Portugalete
2 : 1
Coruxo FC
13 Sept
Portugalete
0 : 0
Compostela
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Portugalete
19 Aug
Leioa
1 : 1
Portugalete
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laudio 38 24 5 9 70:24 77
2 Barakaldo 38 22 10 6 58:29 76
3 Portugalete 38 21 11 6 60:29 74
4 Beasain 38 20 12 6 58:34 72
5 Zalla UC 38 20 12 6 57:34 72
6 Gernika Club 38 18 10 10 50:37 64
7 SCD Durango 38 18 9 11 49:41 63
8 Leioa 38 12 19 7 45:37 55
9 Zamudio 38 14 12 12 42:43 54
10 Basconia 38 13 8 17 67:67 47
11 Lagun Onak 38 10 16 12 29:31 46
12 Elgoibar 38 12 9 17 41:49 45
13 Eibar B 38 10 14 14 36:46 44
14 Arenas Getxo 38 11 10 17 45:46 43
15 Santutxu FC 38 9 13 16 36:56 40
16 Balmaseda 38 8 16 14 48:57 40
17 Alaves B 38 11 7 20 49:71 40
18 CD Vitoria 38 6 13 19 43:66 31
19 Hernani 38 6 8 24 31:71 26
20 Zarautz KE 38 4 8 26 28:74 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)