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Zarautz KE vs Portugalete

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2011/2012
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Zarautz KE host Portugalete in the Tercera Division - Group 4 2011/2012. Portugalete are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Zarautz KE at 1 goals for, 2 against; Portugalete at 1.88 for, 1.13 against. Past meetings favor Portugalete slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.06 - 1.94) back Portugalete to edge this. Portugalete in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Zarautz KE
39%
Draws
30%
Portugalete
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Portugalete has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Zarautz KE.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 4 2011/2012 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Zarautz KE Clean Sheet 10%
Portugalete Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zarautz KE Portugalete
Matches Played 32 40
Wins 7 26
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs Portugalete
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Portugalete vs Zarautz KE
6:0
Mar 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs Portugalete
1:2
Oct 30, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Portugalete vs Zarautz KE
0:1
Apr 21, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs Portugalete
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarautz KE 30 / 100
Portugalete 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zarautz KE Portugalete

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zarautz KE scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Portugalete let in goals in 57% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Zarautz KE went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Portugalete lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zarautz KE VS Portugalete
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Laudio38245970:2477
2Barakaldo382210658:2976
3Portugalete382111660:2974
4Beasain382012658:3472
5Zalla UC382012657:3472
6Gernika Club3818101050:3764
7SCD Durango381891149:4163
8Leioa381219745:3755
9Zamudio3814121242:4354
10Basconia381381767:6747
11Lagun Onak3810161229:3146
12Elgoibar381291741:4945
13Eibar B3810141436:4644
14Arenas Getxo3811101745:4643
15Santutxu FC389131636:5640
16Balmaseda388161448:5740
17Alaves B381172049:7140
18CD Vitoria386131943:6631
19Hernani38682431:7126
20Zarautz KE38482628:7420