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Zarechnoye vs GFK Yalta Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Filatov N.
Own Goal
19' Event
Tsakoev Z.
45' Event
Udin Y.

AI Match Summary

GFK Yalta in this Premier League (Crimea) matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored GFK Yalta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Zarechnoye
15%
Draws
54%
GFK Yalta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GFK Yalta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • GFK Yalta average 2.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Zarechnoye's 2.37.
  • Model gives Zarechnoye a 31% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Zarechnoye Clean Sheet 10%
GFK Yalta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zarechnoye GFK Yalta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.37 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs GFK Yalta
0:1
Jun 20, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
GFK Yalta vs Zarechnoye
2:1
May 3, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs GFK Yalta
3:4
Oct 19, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs GFK Yalta
3:2
Aug 30, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
GFK Yalta vs Zarechnoye
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zarechnoye Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsoi V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Udin Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

GFK Yalta Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsakoev Z.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mazur V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarechnoye 83 / 100
GFK Yalta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zarechnoye GFK Yalta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zarechnoye Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zarechnoye scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Defensive concern: GFK Yalta conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Zarechnoye stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zarechnoye VS GFK Yalta
3.13 Goals Scored 3.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Zarechnoye

(Home)
03 Oct
Zarechnoye
0 : 1
GFK Yalta
27 Sept
Ocean Kerch
0 : 2
Zarechnoye
19 Sept
Zarechnoye
1 : 2
TSK Simferopol
09 Sept
Zarechnoye
5 : 0
Feodosiya
05 Sept
MAK
1 : 1
Zarechnoye
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GFK Yalta

(Away)
03 Oct
Zarechnoye
0 : 1
GFK Yalta
19 Sept
Ocean Kerch
1 : 2
GFK Yalta
09 Sept
TSK Simferopol
4 : 0
GFK Yalta
05 Sept
Feodosiya
3 : 6
GFK Yalta
30 Aug
GFK Yalta
2 : 1
MAK
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