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Zarechnoye vs TSK Simferopol

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Udin Y.
55' Event
Matvijenko D.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Matvijenko D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Premier League (Crimea) game between Zarechnoye and TSK Simferopol finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TSK Simferopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Zarechnoye
15%
Draws
46%
TSK Simferopol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TSK Simferopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • TSK Simferopol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Zarechnoye taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Premier League (Crimea) fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Zarechnoye Clean Sheet 10%
TSK Simferopol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zarechnoye TSK Simferopol
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 17
Draws 8 5
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 2.48 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs TSK Simferopol
1:2
Jun 6, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs Zarechnoye
2:3
Apr 18, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs TSK Simferopol
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs Zarechnoye
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs TSK Simferopol
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zarechnoye Compare

Top Goalscorer Udin Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

TSK Simferopol Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarechnoye 65 / 100
TSK Simferopol 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zarechnoye TSK Simferopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zarechnoye Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zarechnoye's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

TSK Simferopol has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Zarechnoye remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zarechnoye VS TSK Simferopol
3 Goals Scored 2.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Zarechnoye

(Home)
09 Sept
Zarechnoye
5 : 0
Feodosiya
05 Sept
MAK
1 : 1
Zarechnoye
30 Aug
Zarechnoye
6 : 1
Sparta-KT
20 Jun
GFK Yalta
2 : 1
Zarechnoye
14 Jun
Ocean Kerch
0 : 5
Zarechnoye
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TSK Simferopol

(Away)
09 Sept
TSK Simferopol
4 : 0
GFK Yalta
05 Sept
TSK Simferopol
2 : 1
Ocean Kerch
28 Jun
TSK Simferopol
5 : 1
Feodosiya
20 Jun
TSK Simferopol
2 : 3
MAK
14 Jun
Sparta-KT
1 : 2
TSK Simferopol
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