Sport Picks

Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium

CS Sfaxien

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zarzis play CS Sfaxien in the Ligue Professionnelle 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zarzis averaged 0.97 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. CS Sfaxien averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.37 conceded. In past meetings, Zarzis won 3, CS Sfaxien won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Zarzis and 1.25 for CS Sfaxien. This points to a CS Sfaxien double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Zarzis

21%

Draws

48%

CS Sfaxien

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: CS Sfaxien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Zarzis picked up more points recently compared to CS Sfaxien.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 57%

Over 2.5 Goals 32%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%

Zarzis Clean Sheet 19%

CS Sfaxien Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 51%

Second Half Goal 54%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zarzis	CS Sfaxien
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	21
Draws	7	6
Losses	12	3
Goals Scored	0.97	1.5
Goals Conceded	0.9	0.37
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tunisia Cup

CS Sfaxien vs Zarzis

Possession: 45% - 45% Cards: 1 - 0

0:1

Jan 16, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1

Zarzis vs CS Sfaxien

Possession: 42% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Aug 10, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1

CS Sfaxien vs Zarzis

Possession: 53% - 44% Cards: 3 - 4

1:2

Feb 23, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1

Zarzis vs CS Sfaxien

Possession: 46% - 44% Cards: 4 - 0

1:0

Oct 27, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1

CS Sfaxien vs Zarzis

Possession: 48% - 41% Cards: 0 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zarzis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

CS Sfaxien Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Ali O.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ogbole E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarzis 32 / 100

CS Sfaxien 46 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zarzis CS Sfaxien

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CS Sfaxien or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +23.2%

3.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zarzis attacking → ← attacking CS Sfaxien

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zarzis scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

CS Sfaxien let in goals in 33% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Zarzis went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CS Sfaxien lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 69

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Club Africain	30	19	9	2	43:10	66
2	Esperance Tunis	30	18	9	3	45:11	63
3	CS Sfaxien	30	18	8	4	44:13	62
4	Stade Tunisien	30	12	12	6	28:14	48
5	Monastir	30	11	12	7	28:19	45
6	Zarzis	30	11	8	11	30:28	41
7	Etoile Sahel	30	11	8	11	28:30	41
8	Metlaoui	30	9	13	8	19:25	40
9	Jeunesse Sportive	30	10	6	14	24:33	36
10	Ben Guerdane	30	8	11	11	18:22	35
11	AS Marsa	30	11	2	17	26:33	35
12	CA Bizertin	30	8	9	13	18:29	33
13	Olympique Beja	30	9	5	16	18:39	32
14	JS Kairouan	30	9	4	17	20:41	31
15	Soliman	30	6	9	15	15:31	27
16	AS Gabes	30	3	9	18	11:37	18