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Zarzis vs Hamam-Sousse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium, Zarzis
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zarzis host Hamam-Sousse in the Ligue Professionnelle 1. Zarzis go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Zarzis at 0.94 goals for, 0.91 against; Hamam-Sousse at 1.48 for, 0.93 against. Head-to-head, Zarzis have won 1 to Hamam-Sousse's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on May 29, 2022, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Zarzis. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Zarzis
15%
Draws
21%
Hamam-Sousse
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zarzis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hamam-Sousse lately — more wins on the board than Zarzis.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Zarzis taking it.
  • Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Zarzis Clean Sheet 20%
Hamam-Sousse Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zarzis Hamam-Sousse
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.94 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.91 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2022 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Zarzis vs Hamam-Sousse
1:1
May 18, 2022 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Hamam-Sousse vs Zarzis
1:1
Apr 22, 2021 Ligue 2
Hamam-Sousse vs Zarzis
2:1
Mar 20, 2021 Ligue 2
Zarzis vs Hamam-Sousse
3:1
Feb 14, 2021 Ligue 2
Hamam-Sousse vs Zarzis
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarzis 49 / 100
Hamam-Sousse 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zarzis Hamam-Sousse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zarzis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamam-Sousse let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Hamam-Sousse's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Zarzis scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Zarzis VS Hamam-Sousse
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zarzis

(Home)
20 Sept
Club Africain
1 : 0
Zarzis
16 Sept
Zarzis
1 : 2
Monastir
12 Sept
Diambars de Saly
1 : 0
Zarzis
04 Sept
Zarzis
3 : 1
Diambars de Saly
29 Aug
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1
Zarzis
Page 1 of 7

Hamam-Sousse

(Away)
12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3
Stade Tunisien
06 Sept
Metlaoui
1 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
29 Aug
Club Africain
1 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
22 Aug
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 0
Monastir
29 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 3
PS Sakiet Eddaier
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Africain 3 3 0 0 3:0 9
2 Esperance Tunis 4 3 0 1 7:6 9
3 Ben Guerdane 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
4 CS Sfaxien 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
5 Monastir 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
6 PS Sakiet Eddaier 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
7 Jeunesse Sportive 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
8 CA Bizertin 4 2 1 1 3:3 7
9 Stade Tunisien 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
10 Etoile Sahel 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
11 AS Marsa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Zarzis 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
13 Metlaoui 4 1 0 3 2:4 3
14 Olympique Beja 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
15 Hamam-Sousse 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
16 Hammam-Lif 4 0 0 4 0:4 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)