Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zarzis vs Real Bamako - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium, Zarzis
Zarzis Logo

Zarzis

1 - 3
FT
Real Bamako Logo

Real Bamako

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Tangara F.
45' Event
Kamate A.
45' Event
Kamate A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Zarzis
30%
Draws
47%
Real Bamako
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Bamako

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Bamako have won more games recently than Zarzis.
  • Model gives Real Bamako a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Real Bamako arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Bamako, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Zarzis Clean Sheet 19%
Real Bamako Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zarzis Real Bamako
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Real Bamako vs Zarzis
2:2
Oct 17, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Zarzis vs Real Bamako
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zarzis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Real Bamako Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamate A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tangara F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarzis 10 / 100
Real Bamako 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zarzis Real Bamako

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Bamako Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Zarzis found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Real Bamako conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Zarzis stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zarzis VS Real Bamako
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zarzis

(Home)
29 Oct
Stade Tunisien
1 : 0
Zarzis
24 Oct
Real Bamako
2 : 2
Zarzis
17 Oct
Zarzis
1 : 3
Real Bamako
11 Oct
Zarzis
2 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
20 Sept
Club Africain
1 : 0
Zarzis
Page 1 of 6

Real Bamako

(Away)
01 Nov
Real Bamako
0 : 1
Stade Malien
24 Oct
Real Bamako
2 : 2
Zarzis
17 Oct
Zarzis
1 : 3
Real Bamako
11 Sept
Real Bamako
0 : 0
Vitesse
06 Sept
Vitesse
1 : 2
Real Bamako
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mogadishu City 1
Kitara 4
TBD -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC 5
ASAS 1
TBD -
Azam -
Hilal Alsahil 3
Welwalo Adigrat 4
KMKM 0
Al Ahly Tripoli 7
Madani 2
Tusker 3
Al-Ghazala 1
Singida Black Stars 10
Panthers 5
ASPAC 5
TBD -
USM Alger -
AS Psi 2
Korhogo 4
TBD -
FAR Rabat -
Douane 3
Hafia 2
TBD -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors 3
UDIB 1
TBD -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD 3
East End Lions 3
Shooting 1
CS Sfaxien 2
Zarzis 3
Diambars de Saly 2
Vitesse 1
Real Bamako 2
Diarra 2
Nations FC 1
AS ZAM 0
ASKO Kara 6
UNAM 1
Kabuscorp 5
TBD -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows 4
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra 0
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City 3
Rukinzo 1
Port Louis 2
Jwaneng Galaxy 1
Panthere 1
Rayon Sport 1
Atomic Ngome 0
Associacao Black Bulls 1
Virunga 1
Bazar Brothers 0
Green Mamba 0
Primeiro de Agosto 4
Final
Kitara 1
Al Ahly 6
ZED FC 1
Azam 2
Welwalo Adigrat 1
Al Ahly Tripoli 8
Tusker 1
Singida Black Stars 2
Panthers -
USM Alger -
Korhogo 1
FAR Rabat 2
Douane -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors 2
Raja Casablanca 4
Academie de FAD 1
CS Sfaxien 2
Zarzis 3
Real Bamako 5
Diarra 3
ASKO Kara 3
Kabuscorp 2
AS Maniema 8
Red Arrows 2
Kaizer Chiefs 1
Durban City 6
Port Louis 1
Rayon Sport 2
Associacao Black Bulls 4
Virunga 1
Primeiro de Agosto 3