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Zatec vs Nestemice

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Ustecky KP 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ustecky KP 2025/2026 game between Zatec and Nestemice finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nestemice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Zatec
15%
Draws
39%
Nestemice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zatec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nestemice come out ahead of Zatec on wins alone.
  • Model gives Zatec a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ustecky KP 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nestemice here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Zatec Clean Sheet 10%
Nestemice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zatec Nestemice
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.93 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Ustecky KP
Zatec vs Nestemice
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 Ustecky KP
Nestemice vs Zatec
1:1
May 24, 2025 Ustecky KP
Nestemice vs Zatec
5:2
Oct 26, 2024 Ustecky KP
Zatec vs Nestemice
0:3
Jun 8, 2024 Ustecky KP
Nestemice vs Zatec
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zatec 56 / 100
Nestemice 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zatec Nestemice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zatec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Zatec's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Nestemice conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Zatec remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zatec VS Nestemice
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zatec

(Home)
29 Aug
Zatec
4 : 0
Junior Decin
21 Aug
Louny
0 : 0
Zatec
15 Aug
Zatec
6 : 1
Ledvice
13 Jun
Zatec
1 : 4
Dobromerice
06 Jun
Junior Decin
3 : 1
Zatec
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Nestemice

(Away)
29 Aug
Litomericko
1 : 4
Nestemice
22 Aug
Nestemice
0 : 1
Tatran Kadan
15 Aug
Bilina
2 : 3
Nestemice
13 Jun
Nestemice
2 : 4
Srbice
06 Jun
Bilina
3 : 2
Nestemice
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