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Zawisza vs Chemik Bydgoszcz

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Club Friendly 2024
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Match Events

90' Event
Leonowicz F.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Zawisza and Chemik Bydgoszcz finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zawisza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Zawisza
44%
Draws
20%
Chemik Bydgoszcz
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Chemik Bydgoszcz haven't matched Zawisza's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Zawisza Clean Sheet 12%
Chemik Bydgoszcz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zawisza Chemik Bydgoszcz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 10
Draws 2 4
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2 2.67
Goals Conceded 0.75 0
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Zawisza vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
2:3
Jan 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Zawisza vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zawisza Compare

Top Goalscorer Leonowicz F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Chemik Bydgoszcz Compare

Avg xG / game 2.43
Avg xA / game 1.48

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zawisza 35 / 100
Chemik Bydgoszcz 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zawisza Chemik Bydgoszcz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BYD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zawisza scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Chemik Bydgoszcz let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Zawisza went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zawisza VS Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 Goals Scored 2.67
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 33%