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Stadium Background

Zawisza vs Ol. Grudziadz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Jasiak H.
32'
Jasiak H.
36'
Sub
Kona M. In: Rak S.
Out: Kona M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between Zawisza and Ol. Grudziadz finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ol. Grudziadz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Zawisza
35%
Draws
41%
Ol. Grudziadz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ol. Grudziadz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Zawisza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 24% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Zawisza Clean Sheet 14%
Ol. Grudziadz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zawisza Ol. Grudziadz
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 18 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.85 2.07
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Division 2
Zawisza vs Ol. Grudziadz
1:2
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Zawisza vs Ol. Grudziadz
1:5
May 20, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Zawisza vs Ol. Grudziadz
1:0
Oct 15, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Ol. Grudziadz vs Zawisza
1:1
Mar 19, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Ol. Grudziadz vs Zawisza
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zawisza Compare

Top Goalscorer Golak S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Ol. Grudziadz Compare

Top Goalscorer Jasiak H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jastrzembski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zawisza 30 / 100
Ol. Grudziadz 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zawisza Ol. Grudziadz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zawisza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zawisza scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Ol. Grudziadz has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Zawisza remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zawisza VS Ol. Grudziadz
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zawisza

(Home)
04 Oct
Zawisza
1 : 2
Ol. Grudziadz
18 Sept
Zawisza
0 : 0
Leczna
12 Sept
Hutnik Krakow
1 : 1
Zawisza
04 Sept
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 3
Zawisza
29 Aug
Zawisza
4 : 1
Legia II
Page 1 of 6

Ol. Grudziadz

(Away)
04 Oct
Zawisza
1 : 2
Ol. Grudziadz
19 Sept
Chojniczanka
3 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
11 Sept
Kleczew
1 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
06 Sept
Slask Wroclaw II
0 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
02 Sept
Gornik Zabrze II
3 : 4
Ol. Grudziadz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pruszkow 10 7 2 1 23:12 23
2 Leczna 10 6 2 2 21:10 20
3 Tychy 10 5 5 0 14:6 20
4 Podhale Nowy Targ 11 5 3 3 22:20 18
5 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 11 5 2 4 16:12 17
6 Zawisza 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
7 Sandecja Nowy S. 11 4 4 3 15:12 16
8 Hutnik Krakow 10 4 3 3 16:13 15
9 Zielona Gora 11 4 3 4 20:18 15
10 Chojniczanka 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 Ol. Grudziadz 10 4 3 3 13:16 15
12 Avia Swidnik 11 4 2 5 14:17 14
13 Stal Stalowa Wola 11 4 1 6 19:23 13
14 Legia II 10 4 0 6 20:17 12
15 Slask Wroclaw II 10 3 0 7 17:20 9
16 Kleczew 10 1 5 4 11:23 8
17 Swit Szczecin 11 2 2 7 11:25 8
18 R. Rzeszow 10 0 4 6 7:19 4
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)