Sport Picks
Zawisza vs Pogon Szczecin II
Poland
III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 Zdzisław Krzyszkowiak Stadium, Bydgoszcz 
Match Events
3'
3'
Kusmierczyk B.
39'
39'
Szumilas W.
44'
44'
Golak S.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Zawisza and Pogon Szczecin II finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zawisza.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogon Szczecin II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Zawisza come out ahead of Pogon Szczecin II on wins alone.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Pogon Szczecin II taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Zawisza Clean Sheet 10%
Pogon Szczecin II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zawisza | Pogon Szczecin II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 19 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 4 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 4.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 13, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Zawisza vs Pogon Szczecin II
2:1
Aug 27, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Zawisza
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Zawisza vs Pogon Szczecin II
3:1
Sep 28, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Zawisza
2:1
Apr 6, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Zawisza vs Pogon Szczecin II
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zawisza Compare
Top Goalscorer Szumilas W.
1 Goals Assists Leader Golak S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Pogon Szczecin II Compare
Top Goalscorer Kusmierczyk B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zawisza 10 / 100
Pogon Szczecin II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zawisza Pogon Szczecin II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick POG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Zawisza scored in 89% of their last 27 outings.
Pogon Szczecin II let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Zawisza has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Zawisza VS Pogon Szczecin II
1.75 Goals Scored 4
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 86%
13% Over 3.5 57%
Recent Form & Match History
Zawisza
(Home) 25 Jul
Zawisza
1 : 1 Kleczew
18 Jul
Polonia Warszawa
3 : 2 Zawisza
11 Jul
Zawisza
2 : 1 LKS Lodz II
08 Jul
Zawisza
1 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
04 Jul
Zawisza
2 : 1 Legia II
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Zawisza
1 : 1 Kleczew
11 Jul
Zawisza
2 : 1 LKS Lodz II
08 Jul
Zawisza
1 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
04 Jul
Zawisza
2 : 1 Legia II
23 May
Zawisza
2 : 0 Luzino
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Pogon Szczecin II
(Away) 30 May
Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal
1 : 4 Pogon Szczecin II
24 May
Pogon Szczecin II
13 : 1 Wda Swiecie
17 May
Swinoujscie
1 : 2 Pogon Szczecin II
13 May
Pogon Szczecin II
4 : 0 Elana Torun
09 May
Pogon Szczecin II
2 : 1 Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal
1 : 4 Pogon Szczecin II
17 May
Swinoujscie
1 : 2 Pogon Szczecin II
01 May
Tluchowo
3 : 3 Pogon Szczecin II
18 Apr
Lipno Steszew
1 : 0 Pogon Szczecin II
03 Apr
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 0 Pogon Szczecin II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zawisza | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 73:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Luzino | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 79:39 | 76 |
| 3 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 67:43 | 66 |
| 4 | Lipno Steszew | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 47:54 | 51 |
| 5 | Notec Czarnkow | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 67:54 | 49 |
| 7 | Elana Torun | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:55 | 49 |
| 8 | Swinoujscie | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 48:52 | 49 |
| 9 | Wda Swiecie | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 44:66 | 48 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:41 | 47 |
| 11 | Kluczevia Stargard | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54:43 | 46 |
| 12 | Blekitni Stargard | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56:51 | 45 |
| 13 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:46 | 42 |
| 14 | Pogon Szczecin II | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 75:66 | 41 |
| 15 | Nowe Skalmierzyce | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:46 | 39 |
| 16 | Cartusia Kartuzy | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 38:51 | 38 |
| 17 | Tluchowo | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:66 | 31 |
| 18 | Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 20:84 | 15 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
