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Zebbug vs Gharghur Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

Division 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zebbug in this Division 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zebbug.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Zebbug
15%
Draws
48%
Gharghur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gharghur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Zebbug have won more games recently than Gharghur.
  • Win probability leans Zebbug's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Zebbug Clean Sheet 10%
Gharghur Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zebbug Gharghur
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.06 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.32 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2017 Challenge League
Zebbug vs Gharghur
3:2
Dec 4, 2016 Challenge League
Gharghur vs Zebbug
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zebbug 56 / 100
Gharghur 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zebbug Gharghur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zebbug Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gharghur has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Zebbug's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Zebbug stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zebbug VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
3.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zebbug

(Home)
20 Sept
Naxxar Lions
3 : 1
Zebbug
13 Sept
Zebbug
0 : 4
Fgura
18 Apr
Zebbug
1 : 1
Marsa
11 Apr
Vittoriosa
0 : 1
Zebbug
04 Apr
Gudja
1 : 2
Zebbug
Page 1 of 7

Gharghur

(Away)
26 Oct
Rabat Ajax
4 : 1
Gharghur
14 Sept
Sannat Lions
0 : 1
Gharghur
27 Oct
Marsa
5 : 1
Gharghur
09 Sept
Gharghur
3 : 1
Xaghra
02 Sept
Qala Saints
1 : 3
Gharghur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lija 26 16 6 4 63:34 54
2 Senglea 26 16 5 5 57:21 53
3 Naxxar Lions 26 16 3 7 57:37 51
4 Qormi 26 13 7 6 36:26 46
5 Mqabba FC 26 13 5 8 39:32 44
6 Pieta 26 13 2 11 48:38 41
7 Vittoriosa 26 12 4 10 50:37 40
8 Sirens 26 10 4 12 40:44 34
9 Melita 26 8 7 11 29:39 31
10 Zebbug 26 8 6 12 40:47 30
11 Rabat Ajax 26 7 6 13 33:54 27
12 Marsa 26 7 4 15 35:49 25
13 Gharghur 26 4 6 16 30:65 18
14 Fgura 26 3 7 16 20:54 16
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)