Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ZED FC vs Smouha

Egypt Egypt

League Cup Cairo Military Academy Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ZED FC play Smouha in the League Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, ZED FC averaged 1.23 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Smouha averaged 0.9 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, ZED FC won 1, Smouha won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Dec 10, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.55 for ZED FC and 0.95 for Smouha. This points to a ZED FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
ZED FC
31%
Draws
29%
Smouha
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: ZED FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • ZED FC picked up more points recently compared to Smouha.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.55 vs 0.95 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
ZED FC Clean Sheet 24%
Smouha Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ZED FC Smouha
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 12 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.23 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 10, 2025 League Cup
ZED FC vs Smouha
1:0
Aug 21, 2025 Premier League
Smouha vs ZED FC
1:1
May 29, 2025 Premier League
ZED FC vs Smouha
0:0
Jan 28, 2025 Premier League
Smouha vs ZED FC
2:1
Jan 17, 2025 Egypt Cup
Smouha vs ZED FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ZED FC Compare

Top Goalscorer El Banouby A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Smouha Compare

Avg xG / game 0.36
Avg xA / game 0.22

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ZED FC 41 / 100
Smouha 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ZED FC Smouha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: ZED FC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +21.4%
3.57
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

ZED FC attacking → ← attacking Smouha

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ZED FC scored in 83% of their last 35 games.

Smouha let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

ZED FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Smouha lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 36
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.40
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.60

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1El Gaish64117:313
2Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)63219:511
3Enppi63127:510
4Pharco FC63038:109
5Ghazl El Mahallah62224:48
6Al Ahly62047:96
7Ceramica Cleopatra61052:83
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Petrojet650115:515
2El Gouna641110:513
3Wadi Degla631212:610
4National Bank Egypt614111:77
5El Ismaily61235:75
6Modern Sport61233:75
7Pyramids61053:223
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Masry63215:311
2ZED FC63126:410
3Al Ittihad Alexandria61505:28
4Kahrabaa Ismailia615012:118
5Smouha62224:58
6Zamalek62137:97
7Haras El Hodood60244:92