Sport Picks
Match Events
75'
75'
91'
91'
92'
92'
AI Match Summary
Zejtun in this FA Trophy 2023/2024 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
20%
48%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kercem Ajax
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Kercem Ajax lately — more wins on the board than Zejtun.
- 32% — that's where the model lands on Zejtun taking it.
- Kercem Ajax arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Zejtun, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Zejtun Clean Sheet 16%
Kercem Ajax Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zejtun | Kercem Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 0 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 2.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 2.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 13, 2023 FA Trophy
Zejtun vs Kercem Ajax
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zejtun 66 / 100
Kercem Ajax 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zejtun Kercem Ajax
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zejtun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kercem Ajax's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Kercem Ajax registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Zejtun scored in 55% of their last 31 games.
Scoring Trends
Zejtun VS Kercem Ajax
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Zejtun
(Home) 28 Apr
Zebbug
1 : 0 Zejtun
21 Apr
Zejtun
0 : 1 Swieqi
14 Apr
Fgura
1 : 1 Zejtun
05 Apr
Lija
1 : 0 Zejtun
17 Mar
Zejtun
1 : 1 Luqa
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21 Apr
Zejtun
0 : 1 Swieqi
17 Mar
Zejtun
1 : 1 Luqa
03 Mar
Zejtun
3 : 0 Msida
10 Feb
Zejtun
1 : 1 St. Andrews
28 Jan
Zejtun
3 : 2 Fgura
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Kercem Ajax
(Away) 18 Mar
Birzebbuga
1 : 0 Kercem Ajax
27 Feb
Qala Saints
1 : 2 Kercem Ajax
04 Jan
Zurrieq
4 : 0 Kercem Ajax
13 Dec
Zejtun
3 : 2 Kercem Ajax
15 Feb
Hibernians
8 : 0 Kercem Ajax
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18 Mar
Birzebbuga
1 : 0 Kercem Ajax
27 Feb
Qala Saints
1 : 2 Kercem Ajax
04 Jan
Zurrieq
4 : 0 Kercem Ajax
13 Dec
Zejtun
3 : 2 Kercem Ajax
15 Feb
Hibernians
8 : 0 Kercem Ajax
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
Zejtun 3
Kercem Ajax 2
Luqa -
TBD -
St. George's FC 1
Swieqi 5
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
Zabbar -
TBD -
Tarxien 1
Zebbug 2
Gzira -
TBD -
Oratory 0
Fgura 2
Hibernians -
TBD -
Melita 5
Qala Saints 7
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers 1
Marsa 2
Msida 5
Xaghra 1
TBD -
Mgarr -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
Nadur 3
St. Andrews 2
TBD -
Sirens -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Kirkop 1
Lija 2
Xewkija -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
Senglea 2
Pieta 3
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaskala FC -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
1/16-finals
Marsaxlokk 5
Zejtun 0
Luqa 1
Swieqi 2
Floriana 2
Naxxar Lions 0
Zabbar 1
Zebbug 2
Gzira 2
Fgura 0
Hibernians 2
Qala Saints 0
Santa Lucia 2
Marsa 0
Msida 1
Mgarr 3
Birkirkara 3
Attard 1
Nadur 1
Sirens 2
Hamrun 3
Lija 0
Xewkija 0
Gudja 3
Mosta FC 5
Pieta 1
Valletta 7
Ghajnsielem 1
Sliema 3
Marsaskala FC 0
Balzan FC 2
Zurrieq 1
1/8-finals
Marsaxlokk 3
Swieqi 0
Floriana 7
Zebbug 1
Gzira 1
Hibernians 0
Santa Lucia 3
Mgarr 4
Birkirkara 1
Sirens 0
Hamrun 3
Gudja 0
Mosta FC 2
Valletta 1
Sliema 1
Balzan FC 0
Quarter-finals
Marsaxlokk 0
Floriana 2
Gzira 2
Mgarr 0
Birkirkara 3
Hamrun 2
Mosta FC 2
Sliema 3
Semi-finals
Floriana 3
Gzira 2
Birkirkara 0
Sliema 1
Final
Floriana 0
Sliema 1
