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Zeledon vs Alajuelense

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal Pérez Zeledón, San Isidro de El General
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Soto A.
34'
Moran M.
44'
Segura B.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Zeledon and Alajuelense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Zeledon
22%
Draws
60%
Alajuelense
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Alajuelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Alajuelense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Alajuelense's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Primera Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Zeledon Clean Sheet 10%
Alajuelense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zeledon Alajuelense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 10
Draws 11 9
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Zeledon
3:0
Jan 18, 2026 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Alajuelense
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Zeledon
3:2
Sep 7, 2025 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Alajuelense
2:1
Apr 1, 2025 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Alajuelense
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zeledon Compare

Top Goalscorer Soto A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Alajuelense Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucumi J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zeledon 18 / 100
Alajuelense 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zeledon Alajuelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LDA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Zeledon's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Alajuelense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Zeledon went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zeledon VS Alajuelense
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zeledon

(Home)
25 Jul
Saprissa
5 : 1
Zeledon
25 Apr
San Carlos
1 : 1
Zeledon
23 Apr
Zeledon
0 : 1
Herediano
18 Apr
Guadalupe
1 : 0
Zeledon
12 Apr
Zeledon
3 : 3
Puntarenas FC
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Alajuelense

(Away)
26 Jul
Sporting FC
1 : 1
Alajuelense
12 Jul
Alajuelense
0 : 1
Herediano
26 Apr
Liberia
2 : 1
Alajuelense
24 Apr
Alajuelense
5 : 2
Puntarenas FC
19 Apr
Alajuelense
1 : 1
Saprissa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano18122426:1038
2Saprissa18104434:1934
3Liberia18103524:1833
4Cartagines18102626:2032
5Alajuelense1875628:2026
6Sporting FC1864816:2122
7San Carlos1863921:2521
8Puntarenas FC18441022:2916
9Zeledon1828819:3014
10Guadalupe18351013:3714
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)