Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zemun vs Radnik Surdulica

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Super Liga Stadion Dragan Dzajić, Ub
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Bogdanovic V.
17'
Petrovic D.
29' Event
Lazic U.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Mozzart Bet Super Liga game between Zemun and Radnik Surdulica finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Zemun
30%
Draws
62%
Radnik Surdulica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Radnik Surdulica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Zemun and Radnik Surdulica close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Mozzart Bet Super Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Zemun Clean Sheet 15%
Radnik Surdulica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zemun Radnik Surdulica
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 13
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.14 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Zemun vs Radnik Surdulica
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Zemun vs Radnik Surdulica
2:1
Oct 6, 2024 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Radnik Surdulica vs Zemun
1:1
Jul 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Radnik Surdulica vs Zemun
2:0
May 11, 2019 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Zemun vs Radnik Surdulica
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zemun Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Radnik Surdulica Compare

Top Goalscorer Novakovic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zemun 31 / 100
Radnik Surdulica 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zemun Radnik Surdulica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Radnik Surdulica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zemun found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Radnik Surdulica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Zemun stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zemun VS Radnik Surdulica
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zemun

(Home)
14 Sept
Zemun
1 : 1
Radnik Surdulica
06 Sept
Vojvodina
2 : 1
Zemun
30 Aug
Zemun
0 : 2
Crvena zvezda
22 Aug
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet
1 : 0
Zemun
16 Aug
Zemun
0 : 1
Mladost Lucani
Page 1 of 6

Radnik Surdulica

(Away)
14 Sept
Zemun
1 : 1
Radnik Surdulica
10 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
0 : 0
Crvena zvezda
05 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
3 : 1
Cukaricki
29 Aug
Zeleznicar Pancevo
5 : 1
Radnik Surdulica
23 Aug
Radnik Surdulica
1 : 0
Novi Pazar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crvena zvezda 10 9 1 0 24:3 28
2 Vojvodina 10 7 1 2 21:10 22
3 Radnicki 1923 9 5 2 2 17:9 17
4 Mladost Lucani 10 4 4 2 10:12 16
5 IMT Novi Beograd 10 4 3 3 12:7 15
6 Zeleznicar Pancevo 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
7 Radnik Surdulica 10 3 5 2 14:15 14
8 Novi Pazar 10 3 4 3 10:11 13
9 Cukaricki 10 3 2 5 12:18 11
10 OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet 10 2 3 5 13:21 9
11 Partizan 9 2 2 5 17:19 8
12 Radnicki Nis 9 2 2 5 6:11 8
13 Macva Sabac 10 2 2 6 6:17 8
14 Zemun 10 0 3 7 6:19 3
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group)