Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zenit St Petersburg vs Akhmat Grozny

Russia Russia

Premier League 2025/2026 Gazprom Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Sobolev A.
Assist: Diveev I.
11' Event
Luiz Henrique
Assist: Pedrinho
23'
Sub
Ulyanov V. In: Magomedov Y.
Out: Ulyanov V.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Zenit St Petersburg and Akhmat Grozny finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zenit St Petersburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Zenit St Petersburg
40%
Draws
29%
Akhmat Grozny
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Akhmat Grozny haven't matched Zenit St Petersburg's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zenit St Petersburg here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Zenit St Petersburg Clean Sheet 20%
Akhmat Grozny Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zenit St Petersburg Akhmat Grozny
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 22 14
Draws 4 8
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 2.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
Zenit St Petersburg vs Akhmat Grozny
2:0
Sep 17, 2025 Russian Cup
Zenit St Petersburg vs Akhmat Grozny
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Zenit St Petersburg
1:0
Jul 30, 2025 Russian Cup
Akhmat Grozny vs Zenit St Petersburg
1:2
May 24, 2025 Premier League
Zenit St Petersburg vs Akhmat Grozny
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zenit St Petersburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Sobolev A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luiz Henrique
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Akhmat Grozny Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zenit St Petersburg 32 / 100
Akhmat Grozny 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zenit St Petersburg Akhmat Grozny

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zenit St Petersburg scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Zenit St Petersburg has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Akhmat Grozny has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Zenit St Petersburg VS Akhmat Grozny
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit St Petersburg30208253:1968
2Krasnodar30206460:2366
3Lokomotiv Moscow301411554:3953
4Spartak Moscow30157847:3952
5CSKA Moscow30156944:3351
6Baltika301113638:2146
7Dynamo Moscow30129951:4045
8Rubin Kazan301110929:3043
9Akhmat Grozny309101135:3937
10FK Rostov30891325:3233
11Krylya Sovetov Samara30881435:5032
12Orenburg30781529:4429
13Akron Togliatti30691535:5327
14Dynamo Makhachkala305111419:3726
15Pari Nizhny Novgorod30651926:5023
16PFC Sochi30642029:6022