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Zenit St Petersburg vs Akhmat Grozny - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League Gazprom Arena, Saint Petersburg
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zenit St Petersburg host Akhmat Grozny in the Premier League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Zenit St Petersburg have averaged 1.83 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Akhmat Grozny's 1.36 scored and 1.18 conceded. Past meetings favor Zenit St Petersburg slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.56 - 1.25) back Zenit St Petersburg to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Zenit St Petersburg
20%
Draws
24%
Akhmat Grozny
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zenit St Petersburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Zenit St Petersburg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Zenit St Petersburg a 56% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zenit St Petersburg here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Zenit St Petersburg Clean Sheet 19%
Akhmat Grozny Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zenit St Petersburg Akhmat Grozny
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 22 10
Draws 4 10
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.83 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
Zenit St Petersburg vs Akhmat Grozny
2:0
Sep 17, 2025 Russian Cup
Zenit St Petersburg vs Akhmat Grozny
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Zenit St Petersburg
1:0
Jul 30, 2025 Russian Cup
Akhmat Grozny vs Zenit St Petersburg
1:2
May 24, 2025 Premier League
Zenit St Petersburg vs Akhmat Grozny
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zenit St Petersburg 85 / 100
Akhmat Grozny 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zenit St Petersburg Akhmat Grozny

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zenit St Petersburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zenit St Petersburg scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Akhmat Grozny conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Zenit St Petersburg has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zenit St Petersburg VS Akhmat Grozny
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zenit St Petersburg

(Home)
04 Oct
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 0
BATE
27 Sept
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 1
Zenit St Petersburg
16 Sept
Baltika
2 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg
12 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow
05 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 2
CSKA Moscow
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Akhmat Grozny

(Away)
17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2
Dynamo Makhachkala
07 Sept
Rubin Kazan
1 : 1
Akhmat Grozny
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
29 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 3
Krylya Sovetov Samara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 9 6 3 0 14:7 21
2 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
3 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
4 Spartak Moscow 9 6 1 2 16:7 19
5 Zenit St Petersburg 9 6 0 3 19:9 18
6 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
7 Dynamo Makhachkala 9 4 0 5 15:16 12
8 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
9 Krylya Sovetov Samara 9 2 5 2 13:14 11
10 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
11 Orenburg 9 1 6 2 7:10 9
12 FK Rostov 9 2 2 5 10:17 8
13 Akron Togliatti 9 1 5 3 11:18 8
14 Lokomotiv Moscow 9 1 4 4 8:11 7
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 9 0 3 6 6:13 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)