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Zenit St Petersburg vs CSKA Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League Gazprom Arena, Saint Petersburg
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Match Events

7'
Joao Victor
7'
Semak S.
19'
Glebov K.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Zenit St Petersburg and CSKA Moscow finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSKA Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Zenit St Petersburg
15%
Draws
34%
CSKA Moscow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zenit St Petersburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Zenit St Petersburg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Zenit St Petersburg's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Zenit St Petersburg Clean Sheet 17%
CSKA Moscow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zenit St Petersburg CSKA Moscow
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 22 11
Draws 3 10
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 1.96 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.64 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Premier League
Zenit St Petersburg vs CSKA Moscow
1:2
May 2, 2026 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs Zenit St Petersburg
1:3
Feb 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Zenit St Petersburg vs CSKA Moscow
2:3
Aug 3, 2025 Premier League
Zenit St Petersburg vs CSKA Moscow
1:1
May 14, 2025 Russian Cup
CSKA Moscow vs Zenit St Petersburg
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zenit St Petersburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Sobolev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

CSKA Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Oblyakov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zenit St Petersburg 36 / 100
CSKA Moscow 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zenit St Petersburg CSKA Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zenit St Petersburg scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

CSKA Moscow has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Zenit St Petersburg has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zenit St Petersburg VS CSKA Moscow
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zenit St Petersburg

(Home)
10 Oct
Krasnodar
2 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg
04 Oct
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 0
BATE
27 Sept
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 1
Zenit St Petersburg
16 Sept
Baltika
2 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg
12 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow
Page 1 of 6

CSKA Moscow

(Away)
11 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 0
Rodina Moscow
04 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
27 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
17 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3
CSKA Moscow
12 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 10 7 0 3 22:11 21
2 Krasnodar 10 6 3 1 16:10 21
3 Spartak Moscow 10 6 2 2 17:8 20
4 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
5 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
6 Orenburg 10 2 6 2 11:10 12
7 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
8 Dynamo Makhachkala 10 4 0 6 15:20 12
9 Krylya Sovetov Samara 10 2 6 2 14:15 12
10 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
11 FK Rostov 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
12 Lokomotiv Moscow 10 2 4 4 13:11 10
13 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
14 Akron Togliatti 10 1 5 4 11:19 8
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 10 0 3 7 6:18 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)