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Zenit St Petersburg vs Dynamo Makhachkala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russian Cup Gazprom Arena, Saint Petersburg
Zenit St Petersburg Logo

Zenit St Petersburg

3 - 0
FT
Dynamo Makhachkala Logo

Dynamo Makhachkala

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Sobolev A.
Assist: Volkov S.
38' Event
Sobolev A.
Assist: Erokhin A.
45'
Sub
Alarcon A. In: Akhmedov I.
Out: Alarcon A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Zenit St Petersburg
15%
Draws
24%
Dynamo Makhachkala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zenit St Petersburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Dynamo Makhachkala haven't matched Zenit St Petersburg's recent run of results.
  • Zenit St Petersburg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Zenit St Petersburg have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zenit St Petersburg, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Zenit St Petersburg have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Zenit St Petersburg Clean Sheet 20%
Dynamo Makhachkala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zenit St Petersburg Dynamo Makhachkala
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 22 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.87 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Russian Cup
Zenit St Petersburg vs Dynamo Makhachkala
3:0
Jul 13, 2026 Club Friendly
Zenit St Petersburg vs Dynamo Makhachkala
1:1
Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Zenit St Petersburg vs Dynamo Makhachkala
2:0
Apr 19, 2026 Premier League
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Zenit St Petersburg
0:1
Mar 18, 2026 Russian Cup
Zenit St Petersburg vs Dynamo Makhachkala
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zenit St Petersburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Sobolev A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Erokhin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Dynamo Makhachkala Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zenit St Petersburg 85 / 100
Dynamo Makhachkala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zenit St Petersburg Dynamo Makhachkala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zenit St Petersburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zenit St Petersburg scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Dynamo Makhachkala let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Zenit St Petersburg went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Zenit St Petersburg VS Dynamo Makhachkala
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zenit St Petersburg

(Home)
10 Oct
Krasnodar
2 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg
04 Oct
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 0
BATE
27 Sept
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 1
Zenit St Petersburg
16 Sept
Baltika
2 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg
12 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow
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Dynamo Makhachkala

(Away)
10 Oct
Orenburg
4 : 0
Dynamo Makhachkala
03 Oct
Dynamo Makhachkala
3 : 2
Leningradets
17 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3
CSKA Moscow
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2
Dynamo Makhachkala
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0
Rodina Moscow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Moscow 3 2 0 1 9:3 7
2 Rubin Kazan 3 2 0 1 2:7 4
3 Orenburg 3 1 0 2 6:7 4
4 Rodina Moscow 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
2 Dynamo Moscow 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Akhmat Grozny 3 1 0 2 3:5 4
4 Fakel Voronezh 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 3 3 0 0 4:0 8
2 Krylya Sovetov Samara 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
3 Baltika 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
4 Dynamo Makhachkala 3 0 0 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Rostov 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Akron Togliatti 3 2 0 1 1:4 5
3 CSKA Moscow 3 1 0 2 1:4 2
4 Lokomotiv Moscow 3 0 0 3 1:2 2
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)