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Zenit St Petersburg vs Dynamo Moscow Prediction & H2H Stats

Russia Russia

Premier League Gazprom Arena, Saint Petersburg
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Sobolev A.
(Penalty)
33' Event
Sobolev A.
Assist: Glushenkov M.
46'
Sub
Nino In: Andrade K.
Out: Nino

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Zenit St Petersburg and Dynamo Moscow finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zenit St Petersburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Zenit St Petersburg
15%
Draws
47%
Dynamo Moscow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dynamo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zenit St Petersburg come out ahead of Dynamo Moscow on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zenit St Petersburg here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Zenit St Petersburg Clean Sheet 20%
Dynamo Moscow Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zenit St Petersburg Dynamo Moscow
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 22 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.87 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Premier League
Zenit St Petersburg vs Dynamo Moscow
3:0
Mar 22, 2026 Premier League
Dynamo Moscow vs Zenit St Petersburg
1:3
Feb 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Zenit St Petersburg vs Dynamo Moscow
2:1
Nov 27, 2025 Russian Cup
Dynamo Moscow vs Zenit St Petersburg
0:1
Nov 5, 2025 Russian Cup
Zenit St Petersburg vs Dynamo Moscow
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zenit St Petersburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Sobolev A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Glushenkov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Dynamo Moscow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zenit St Petersburg 36 / 100
Dynamo Moscow 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zenit St Petersburg Dynamo Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dynamo Moscow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zenit St Petersburg scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Dynamo Moscow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Zenit St Petersburg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zenit St Petersburg VS Dynamo Moscow
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zenit St Petersburg

(Home)
27 Sept
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 1
Zenit St Petersburg
16 Sept
Baltika
2 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg
12 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow
05 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 2
CSKA Moscow
02 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
3 : 0
Dynamo Makhachkala
Page 1 of 6

Dynamo Moscow

(Away)
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Dynamo Moscow
12 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
1 : 0
Orenburg
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1
Spartak Moscow
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
29 Aug
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 1
Dynamo Moscow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 9 6 3 0 14:7 21
2 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
3 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
4 Spartak Moscow 9 6 1 2 16:7 19
5 Zenit St Petersburg 9 6 0 3 19:9 18
6 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
7 Dynamo Makhachkala 9 4 0 5 15:16 12
8 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
9 Krylya Sovetov Samara 9 2 5 2 13:14 11
10 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
11 Orenburg 9 1 6 2 7:10 9
12 FK Rostov 9 2 2 5 10:17 8
13 Akron Togliatti 9 1 5 3 11:18 8
14 Lokomotiv Moscow 9 1 4 4 8:11 7
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 9 0 3 6 6:13 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)