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Zenit St Petersburg vs Kairat Almaty

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Nino
21' Event
Sobolev A.

AI Match Summary

Zenit St Petersburg in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zenit St Petersburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zenit St Petersburg
33%
Draws
27%
Kairat Almaty
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Zenit St Petersburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Zenit St Petersburg have won more games recently than Kairat Almaty.
  • Model gives Zenit St Petersburg a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Zenit St Petersburg have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Zenit St Petersburg Clean Sheet 14%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zenit St Petersburg Kairat Almaty
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 20 17
Draws 4 6
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 2.75 2.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Zenit St Petersburg vs Kairat Almaty
2:0
Sep 8, 2024 Club Friendly
Kairat Almaty vs Zenit St Petersburg
3:4
Oct 14, 2023 Club Friendly
Kairat Almaty vs Zenit St Petersburg
2:2
Feb 17, 2020 Club Friendly
Kairat Almaty vs Zenit St Petersburg
1:3
Sep 9, 2018 Club Friendly
Zenit St Petersburg vs Kairat Almaty
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zenit St Petersburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Nino
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sobolev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Kairat Almaty Compare

Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zenit St Petersburg 39 / 100
Kairat Almaty 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zenit St Petersburg Kairat Almaty

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zenit St Petersburg found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Zenit St Petersburg stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Kairat Almaty's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zenit St Petersburg VS Kairat Almaty
2.75 Goals Scored 2.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zenit St Petersburg

(Home)
25 Jul
Akron Togliatti
0 : 5
Zenit St Petersburg
18 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1
Spartak Moscow
13 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala
12 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
3 : 1
Crvena zvezda
08 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
4 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
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Kairat Almaty

(Away)
29 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2 : 0
Omonia
26 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2 : 1
Ordabasy
22 Jul
Omonia
1 : 0
Kairat Almaty
18 Jul
Atyrau
1 : 3
Kairat Almaty
15 Jul
Sutjeska
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty
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