Sport Picks
Zenit St Petersburg W vs Lokomotiv Moscow W
Russia
Russia Cup Women 2025 Akademiya Zenit pole 5, Saint Petersburg 
Match Events
6'
6'
Sub
Dzhinikashvili K. In: Simanovskaya V.
Out: Dzhinikashvili K.
9'
9'
Pantyukhina E.
(Penalty)
14'
14'
Kiki
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-3, with Zenit St Petersburg W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zenit St Petersburg W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Zenit St Petersburg W come out ahead of Lokomotiv Moscow W on wins alone.
- Model gives Zenit St Petersburg W a 90% chance of winning this.
- Zenit St Petersburg W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Zenit St Petersburg W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Zenit St Petersburg W have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Zenit St Petersburg W Clean Sheet 20%
Lokomotiv Moscow W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zenit St Petersburg W | Lokomotiv Moscow W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 21 | 17 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 3.25 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.25 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.25 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.25 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 Supreme Division Women
Lokomotiv Moscow W vs Zenit St Petersburg W
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Supreme Division Women
Lokomotiv Moscow W vs Zenit St Petersburg W
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Russia Cup Women
Zenit St Petersburg W vs Lokomotiv Moscow W
4:3
Aug 29, 2025 Russia Cup Women
Lokomotiv Moscow W vs Zenit St Petersburg W
0:1
Jun 8, 2025 Super Cup Women
Lokomotiv Moscow W vs Zenit St Petersburg W
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zenit St Petersburg W Compare
Top Goalscorer Ishmukhametova D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Kiki
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63
Lokomotiv Moscow W Compare
Top Goalscorer Kozlova V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zenit St Petersburg W 85 / 100
Lokomotiv Moscow W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zenit St Petersburg W Lokomotiv Moscow W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ZEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Zenit St Petersburg W scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Zenit St Petersburg W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Lokomotiv Moscow W conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Zenit St Petersburg W VS Lokomotiv Moscow W
3.25 Goals Scored 2.13
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Zenit St Petersburg W
(Home) 18 Jul
Zvezda 2005 W
1 : 3 Zenit St Petersburg W
11 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg W
4 : 0 FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk W
04 Jul
PFC Sochi W
0 : 10 Zenit St Petersburg W
27 Jun
CSKA Moscow W
0 : 0 Zenit St Petersburg W
20 Jun
Zenit St Petersburg W
3 : 0 Ryazan W
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg W
4 : 0 FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk W
20 Jun
Zenit St Petersburg W
3 : 0 Ryazan W
16 May
Zenit St Petersburg W
1 : 1 Spartak Moscow W
10 May
Zenit St Petersburg W
3 : 0 Rubin Kazan W
03 Apr
Zenit St Petersburg W
5 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara W
Page 1 of 3
Lokomotiv Moscow W
(Away) 18 Jul
Rubin Kazan W
1 : 0 Lokomotiv Moscow W
11 Jul
FK Rostov W
0 : 0 Lokomotiv Moscow W
04 Jul
FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk W
2 : 5 Lokomotiv Moscow W
27 Jun
Spartak Moscow W
1 : 1 Lokomotiv Moscow W
20 Jun
FC Chertanovo Moscow W
0 : 3 Lokomotiv Moscow W
Page 1 of 7
18 Jul
Rubin Kazan W
1 : 0 Lokomotiv Moscow W
11 Jul
FK Rostov W
0 : 0 Lokomotiv Moscow W
04 Jul
FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk W
2 : 5 Lokomotiv Moscow W
27 Jun
Spartak Moscow W
1 : 1 Lokomotiv Moscow W
20 Jun
FC Chertanovo Moscow W
0 : 3 Lokomotiv Moscow W
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk W1
FK Rostov W2
Master Saturn Egorievsk W0
Zenit St Petersburg W3
Akademiya Tambov W0
Lokomotiv Moscow W12
Zvezda 2005 W0
Ryazan W1
FC Chertanovo Moscow W0
Krasnodar W2
Ural W0
CSKA Moscow W8
Spartak Moscow W5
Rubin Kazan W1
Dynamo Moscow W0
Krylya Sovetov Samara W2
Quarter-finals
FK Rostov W0
Zenit St Petersburg W2
Lokomotiv Moscow W3
Ryazan W1
Krasnodar W0
CSKA Moscow W4
Spartak Moscow W1
Krylya Sovetov Samara W0
Semi-finals
Zenit St Petersburg W5
Lokomotiv Moscow W3
CSKA Moscow W4
Spartak Moscow W2
Final
Zenit St Petersburg W0
CSKA Moscow W1