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Zenith Prato vs Corticella

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Rizzi M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 game between Zenith Prato and Corticella finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Corticella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Zenith Prato
6%
Draws
4%
Corticella
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zenith Prato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Corticella haven't matched Zenith Prato's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Zenith Prato's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Zenith Prato Clean Sheet 68%
Corticella Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zenith Prato Corticella
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Zenith Prato vs Corticella
0:1
Oct 30, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Corticella vs Zenith Prato
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zenith Prato Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Corticella Compare

Top Goalscorer Rizzi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zenith Prato 95 / 100
Corticella 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zenith Prato Corticella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZPR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corticella's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Zenith Prato scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Zenith Prato remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zenith Prato VS Corticella
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zenith Prato

(Home)
11 May
Zenith Prato
2 : 2
Piacenza
27 Apr
Imolese
5 : 1
Zenith Prato
17 Apr
Zenith Prato
1 : 1
Sasso Marconi
12 Apr
Pistoiese
0 : 1
Zenith Prato
06 Apr
Zenith Prato
0 : 0
Prato
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Corticella

(Away)
18 May
Corticella
0 : 2
Sammaurese
11 May
Corticella
4 : 1
Sasso Marconi
27 Apr
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Corticella
17 Apr
Corticella
0 : 3
Prato
13 Apr
Tuttocuoio
1 : 1
Corticella
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Forli FC 34 27 3 4 75:24 84
2 Ravenna 34 23 5 6 65:27 74
3 Lentigione 34 18 11 5 48:27 65
4 Tau 34 18 9 7 54:27 63
5 Pistoiese 34 18 7 9 45:23 61
6 Imolese 34 14 11 9 52:44 53
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 13 8 13 48:40 47
8 Piacenza 34 10 12 12 38:40 42
9 Prato 34 11 9 14 34:38 42
10 Tuttocuoio 34 10 12 12 32:43 42
11 SCD Progresso 34 10 11 13 24:32 41
12 San Marino Calcio 34 10 8 16 38:51 38
13 Sasso Marconi 34 9 10 15 39:51 37
14 Corticella 34 10 6 18 37:65 36
15 Sammaurese 34 7 10 17 27:37 31
16 Fiorenzuola 34 7 5 22 21:46 26
17 Zenith Prato 34 10 8 16 36:51 23
18 United Riccione 34 5 7 22 22:69 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Out)