Sport Picks

Zambia

Super League

Nkana

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zesco play Nkana in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zesco averaged 1.09 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Nkana averaged 0.73 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. In past meetings, Zesco won 3, Nkana won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 13, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Zesco and 0.75 for Nkana. This points to a Zesco double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Zesco

19%

Draws

38%

Nkana

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Zesco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Zesco picked up more points recently compared to Nkana.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 0.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 48%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 15%

Over 4.5 Goals 8%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%

Zesco Clean Sheet 27%

Nkana Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 43%

Second Half Goal 46%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zesco	Nkana
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	12	9
Draws	7	10
Losses	15	11
Goals Scored	1.09	0.73
Goals Conceded	0.94	0.83
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Super League

Zesco vs Nkana

Possession: 59% - 42% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Jan 11, 2026 Super League

Nkana vs Zesco

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Apr 26, 2025 Absa Cup

Zesco vs Nkana

Possession: 52% - 58% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Jan 19, 2025 Super League

Zesco vs Nkana

Possession: 58% - 48% Cards: 2 - 4

2:0

Sep 1, 2024 Super League

Nkana vs Zesco

Possession: 49% - 47% Cards: 1 - 0

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zesco 44 / 100

Nkana 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zesco Nkana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zesco or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +31.5%

5.26

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zesco attacking → ← attacking Nkana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zesco scored in 62% of their last 34 games.

Nkana let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Zesco went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nkana lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 37

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13