Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zesco vs Prison Leopards

Zambia Zambia

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zesco play Prison Leopards in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zesco averaged 1.09 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. Prison Leopards averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Zesco won 0, Prison Leopards won 1, and they drew 4. Their last match on Apr 29, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Zesco and 0.69 for Prison Leopards. This points to a Zesco double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Zesco
35%
Draws
29%
Prison Leopards
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zesco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Zesco picked up more points recently compared to Prison Leopards.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 16%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Zesco Clean Sheet 28%
Prison Leopards Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 53%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zesco Prison Leopards
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.09 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Super League
Zesco vs Prison Leopards
1:1
Dec 24, 2025 Super League
Prison Leopards vs Zesco
0:0
Jan 7, 2024 Super League
Prison Leopards vs Zesco
1:0
Aug 27, 2023 Super League
Zesco vs Prison Leopards
1:1
Jan 7, 2023 Super League
Zesco vs Prison Leopards
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zesco 38 / 100
Prison Leopards 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zesco Prison Leopards

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zesco or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +30%
5.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zesco attacking → ← attacking Prison Leopards

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zesco scored in 61% of their last 33 games.

Prison Leopards let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Zesco went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Prison Leopards lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 31
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75