Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zesco vs Zamalek

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Wael Y. In: Shehata M.
Out: Wael Y.
61' Event
Hiver A.
(Penalty)
62'
Sub
Hassan M. I. In: Osama E. S.
Out: Hassan M. I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Zesco advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zesco
20%
Draws
40%
Zamalek
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Zamalek carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Zesco taking it.
  • Zamalek arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zesco, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Zesco Clean Sheet 68%
Zamalek Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zesco Zamalek
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 18
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 0.93 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Zesco vs Zamalek
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
Zamalek vs Zesco
1:0
Jan 10, 2020 CAF Champions League
Zamalek vs Zesco
2:0
Dec 28, 2019 CAF Champions League
Zesco vs Zamalek
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zesco 68 / 100
Zamalek 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zesco Zamalek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zesco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Zesco remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Zesco scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Zamalek has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zesco VS Zamalek
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zesco

(Home)
22 Aug
Zesco
0 : 0
Red Arrows
21 Aug
Power Dynamos
0 : 1
Zesco
20 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Zesco
24 May
Zesco
6 : 1
Zanaco
20 May
Mines
1 : 2
Zesco
Page 1 of 6

Zamalek

(Away)
04 Sept
Port
1 : 2
Zamalek
31 Aug
Zamalek
2 : 1
Petrojet
26 Aug
National Bank Egypt
0 : 3
Zamalek
21 Aug
Zamalek
0 : 0
Al Ittihad Alexandria
20 May
Zamalek
1 : 0
Ceramica Cleopatra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USM Alger 6 4 2 0 9:4 14
2 Olympique de Safi 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
3 Djoliba 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
4 San Pedro 6 1 0 5 8:14 3
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wydad Athletic 6 5 0 1 9:2 15
2 AS Maniema 6 4 0 2 8:3 12
3 Azam 6 3 0 3 4:6 9
4 Nairobi United 6 0 0 6 1:11 0
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CR Belouizdad 6 5 0 1 11:5 15
2 Otoho d'Oyo 6 3 0 3 10:6 9
3 Singida Black Stars 6 1 2 3 3:6 5
4 Stellenbosch FC 6 1 2 3 2:9 5
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamalek 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
2 Al Masry 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Kaizer Chiefs 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
4 Zesco 6 1 0 5 3:8 3
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)