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Zestafoni vs Dusheti

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2023
Zestafoni Logo

Zestafoni

1 - 2
FT
Dusheti Logo

Dusheti

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2023 game between Zestafoni and Dusheti finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dusheti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Zestafoni
35%
Draws
26%
Dusheti
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zestafoni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dusheti come out ahead of Zestafoni on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Zestafoni taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dusheti here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Zestafoni Clean Sheet 20%
Dusheti Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zestafoni Dusheti
Matches Played 34 41
Wins 9 23
Draws 12 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.32 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2023 Liga 3
Zestafoni vs Dusheti
1:2
Apr 22, 2023 Liga 3
Dusheti vs Zestafoni
6:0
Sep 2, 2022 Liga 3
Zestafoni vs Dusheti
1:3
Apr 18, 2022 Liga 3
Dusheti vs Zestafoni
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zestafoni 42 / 100
Dusheti 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zestafoni Dusheti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Zestafoni scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Dusheti has conceded goals in 76% of their last 41 outings.

Recent resilience: Zestafoni stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dusheti
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zestafoni

(Home)
07 Dec
Meshakhte Tkibuli
3 : 0
Zestafoni
29 Nov
Zestafoni
2 : 1
FC Tbilisi 2025
21 Nov
Merani Tbilisi
2 : 2
Zestafoni
14 Nov
Zestafoni
0 : 0
Merani Martvili
07 Nov
FC Gardabani
2 : 2
Zestafoni
Page 1 of 7

Dusheti

(Away)
20 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 2
Dusheti
16 Sept
Dusheti
0 : 1
Odishi 1919
12 Sept
Merani Martvili
3 : 1
Dusheti
06 Sept
Dusheti
3 : 4
Shturmi
30 Aug
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 1
Dusheti
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dusheti 30 21 5 4 66:21 68
2 Shturmi 30 21 5 4 67:27 68
3 FC Rustavi 30 19 4 7 63:31 61
4 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 19 3 8 54:35 60
5 Meshakhte Tkibuli 30 15 10 5 49:24 55
6 Orbi 30 15 5 10 56:41 50
7 Iberia 1999 2 30 12 9 9 45:26 45
8 Gori 30 13 4 13 46:48 43
9 Guria 30 11 6 13 44:55 39
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 10 5 15 50:42 35
11 Borjomi 30 11 2 17 50:78 35
12 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 9 6 15 47:47 33
13 Zestafoni 30 6 11 13 33:46 29
14 Matchakhela 30 8 2 20 38:81 26
15 FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II 30 4 10 16 30:58 22
16 Chikhura Sachkhere 30 2 1 27 23:101 7
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Relegation)