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Zestafoni vs Dusheti

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2023 game between Zestafoni and Dusheti finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dusheti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Zestafoni
17%
Draws
70%
Dusheti
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Dusheti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dusheti come out ahead of Zestafoni on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Dusheti taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dusheti here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Zestafoni Clean Sheet 20%
Dusheti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zestafoni Dusheti
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 19
Draws 11 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2023 Liga 3
Zestafoni vs Dusheti
1:2
Apr 22, 2023 Liga 3
Dusheti vs Zestafoni
6:0
Sep 2, 2022 Liga 3
Zestafoni vs Dusheti
1:3
Apr 18, 2022 Liga 3
Dusheti vs Zestafoni
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zestafoni 16 / 100
Dusheti 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zestafoni Dusheti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Zestafoni scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Dusheti has conceded goals in 76% of their last 34 outings.

Recent resilience: Zestafoni stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dusheti
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zestafoni

(Home)
07 Dec
Meshakhte Tkibuli
3 : 0
Zestafoni
29 Nov
Zestafoni
2 : 1
FC Tbilisi 2025
21 Nov
Merani Tbilisi
2 : 2
Zestafoni
14 Nov
Zestafoni
0 : 0
Merani Martvili
07 Nov
FC Gardabani
2 : 2
Zestafoni
Page 1 of 6

Dusheti

(Away)
25 Jul
Kolkheti 1913
0 : 1
Dusheti
17 Jul
Dusheti
4 : 3
Urartu
25 Jun
Zooveti Tbilisi
0 : 2
Dusheti
22 Jun
Telavi
1 : 0
Dusheti
17 Jun
Dusheti
3 : 2
Bolnisi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dusheti30215466:2168
2Shturmi30215467:2768
3FC Rustavi30194763:3161
4FC Tbilisi 202530193854:3560
5Meshakhte Tkibuli301510549:2455
6Orbi301551056:4150
7Iberia 1999 230129945:2645
8Gori301341346:4843
9Guria301161344:5539
10Locomotive Tbilisi 2301051550:4235
11Borjomi301121750:7835
12Bakhmaro Chokhatauri30961547:4733
13Zestafoni306111333:4629
14Matchakhela30822038:8126
15FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II304101630:5822
16Chikhura Sachkhere30212723:1017
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Relegation)