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Zhemchuzhyna Odesa vs Stal Kamianske

Ukraine Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup 2017/2018
Wed, Sep 20, 2017
1 - 2
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zhemchuzhyna Odesa play Stal Kamianske in the Ukrainian Cup 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zhemchuzhyna Odesa averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Stal Kamianske averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Zhemchuzhyna Odesa won 0, Stal Kamianske won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 20, 2017 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Zhemchuzhyna Odesa and 0.88 for Stal Kamianske. This points to a Stal Kamianske double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Zhemchuzhyna Odesa
23%
Draws
47%
Stal Kamianske
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Stal Kamianske

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Zhemchuzhyna Odesa picked up more points recently compared to Stal Kamianske.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Zhemchuzhyna Odesa Clean Sheet 25%
Stal Kamianske Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhemchuzhyna Odesa Stal Kamianske
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 5 8
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0.9 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2017 Ukrainian Cup
Zhemchuzhyna Odesa vs Stal Kamianske
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zhemchuzhyna Odesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Dolinskyi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Stal Kamianske Compare

Top Goalscorer Mysyk M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhemchuzhyna Odesa 32 / 100
Stal Kamianske 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhemchuzhyna Odesa Stal Kamianske

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Stal Kamianske or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zhemchuzhyna Odesa attacking → ← attacking Stal Kamianske

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zhemchuzhyna Odesa scored in 52% of their last 27 games.

Stal Kamianske let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Zhemchuzhyna Odesa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Stal Kamianske lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 23
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38