Sport Picks
Zhenis Astana W vs Ertis Pavlodar W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kazakhstan
League Women 
Match Events
31'
31'
Bigozhina A.
Assist: Baizhanova A.
50'
50'
Zainutdinova S.
Own Goal
71'
71'
Bekkozhina A.
Assist: Kulmagambetova K.
AI Match Summary
The League Women game between Zhenis Astana W and Ertis Pavlodar W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zhenis Astana W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zhenis Astana W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Zhenis Astana W come out ahead of Ertis Pavlodar W on wins alone.
- Zhenis Astana W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Zhenis Astana W Clean Sheet 16%
Ertis Pavlodar W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zhenis Astana W | Ertis Pavlodar W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 18 |
| Wins | 20 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 3.25 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 2.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.00 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 8, 2026 League Women
Zhenis Astana W vs Ertis Pavlodar W
2:1
Apr 28, 2026 League Women
Ertis Pavlodar W vs Zhenis Astana W
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zhenis Astana W Compare
Top Goalscorer Bekkozhina A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5
Ertis Pavlodar W Compare
Top Goalscorer Bigozhina A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zhenis Astana W 75 / 100
Ertis Pavlodar W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zhenis Astana W Ertis Pavlodar W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zhenis Astana W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Zhenis Astana W found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).
Ertis Pavlodar W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 18 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Zhenis Astana W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Zhenis Astana W VS Ertis Pavlodar W
3.63 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Zhenis Astana W
(Home) 17 Sept
Zhenis Astana W
0 : 2 Aktobe W
14 Sept
BIIK Shymkent W
5 : 0 Zhenis Astana W
08 Sept
Zhenis Astana W
2 : 1 Ertis Pavlodar W
01 Sept
Yelimay Semey W
1 : 2 Zhenis Astana W
25 Aug
Okzhetpes W
1 : 4 Zhenis Astana W
Page 1 of 7
17 Sept
Zhenis Astana W
0 : 2 Aktobe W
08 Sept
Zhenis Astana W
2 : 1 Ertis Pavlodar W
17 Aug
Zhenis Astana W
0 : 7 Aktobe W
27 Jul
Zhenis Astana W
1 : 0 Yelimay Semey W
13 Jul
Zhenis Astana W
9 : 0 Shakhter Karagandy W
Page 1 of 4
Ertis Pavlodar W
(Away) 08 Sept
Zhenis Astana W
2 : 1 Ertis Pavlodar W
28 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar W
0 : 12 Aktobe W
25 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar W
0 : 2 Kyzylzhar W
18 Aug
Shakhter Karagandy W
2 : 1 Ertis Pavlodar W
11 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar W
2 : 0 Altai W
Page 1 of 4
08 Sept
Zhenis Astana W
2 : 1 Ertis Pavlodar W
18 Aug
Shakhter Karagandy W
2 : 1 Ertis Pavlodar W
28 Jul
Aktobe W
9 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar W
14 Jul
FC Astana W
2 : 2 Ertis Pavlodar W
23 Jun
Yelimay Semey W
2 : 2 Ertis Pavlodar W
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BIIK Shymkent W | 16 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 132:5 | 45 |
| 2 | Tomiris-Turan W | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 51:12 | 42 |
| 3 | Kairat W | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 43:25 | 28 |
| 4 | Atyrau W | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 28:30 | 26 |
| 5 | Kaisar Kyzylorda W | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23:30 | 25 |
| 6 | Ordabasy W | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:39 | 18 |
| 7 | Zhetysu W | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 22:43 | 15 |
| 8 | Ulytau W | 16 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5:70 | 4 |
| 9 | Kaspij Aktau W | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1:67 | 3 |
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aktobe W | 18 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 166:2 | 54 |
| 2 | Zhenis Astana W | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 71:34 | 43 |
| 3 | Kyzylzhar W | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 66:14 | 41 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey W | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 35:28 | 28 |
| 5 | Shakhter Karagandy W | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 16:69 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Astana W | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 24:55 | 22 |
| 7 | Tobol W | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 16:48 | 22 |
| 8 | Ertis Pavlodar W | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20:43 | 18 |
| 9 | Altai W | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10:65 | 6 |
| 10 | Okzhetpes W | 18 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 13:79 | 6 |
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)
