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Zhenis Astana W vs Yelimay Semey W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Talgat A.

AI Match Summary

The League Women game between Zhenis Astana W and Yelimay Semey W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zhenis Astana W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Zhenis Astana W
15%
Draws
42%
Yelimay Semey W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zhenis Astana W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zhenis Astana W come out ahead of Yelimay Semey W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Yelimay Semey W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zhenis Astana W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Zhenis Astana W Clean Sheet 15%
Yelimay Semey W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhenis Astana W Yelimay Semey W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 17
Draws 3 2
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 3.23 2.26
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 League Women
Yelimay Semey W vs Zhenis Astana W
1:2
Jul 27, 2026 League Women
Zhenis Astana W vs Yelimay Semey W
1:0
Oct 1, 2025 League Women
Zhenis Astana W vs Yelimay Semey W
2:2
Jul 7, 2025 League Women
Yelimay Semey W vs Zhenis Astana W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zhenis Astana W Compare

Top Goalscorer Talgat A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Yelimay Semey W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhenis Astana W 10 / 100
Yelimay Semey W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhenis Astana W Yelimay Semey W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yelimay Semey W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zhenis Astana W's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Yelimay Semey W has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Zhenis Astana W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zhenis Astana W VS Yelimay Semey W
3.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zhenis Astana W

(Home)
17 Sept
Zhenis Astana W
0 : 2
Aktobe W
14 Sept
BIIK Shymkent W
5 : 0
Zhenis Astana W
08 Sept
Zhenis Astana W
2 : 1
Ertis Pavlodar W
01 Sept
Yelimay Semey W
1 : 2
Zhenis Astana W
25 Aug
Okzhetpes W
1 : 4
Zhenis Astana W
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Yelimay Semey W

(Away)
07 Sept
Yelimay Semey W
0 : 1
Shakhter Karagandy W
01 Sept
Yelimay Semey W
1 : 2
Zhenis Astana W
24 Aug
Tobol W
0 : 2
Yelimay Semey W
18 Aug
Yelimay Semey W
3 : 0
FC Astana W
11 Aug
Okzhetpes W
0 : 1
Yelimay Semey W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BIIK Shymkent W 16 15 0 1 132:5 45
2 Tomiris-Turan W 16 14 0 2 51:12 42
3 Kairat W 16 9 1 6 43:25 28
4 Atyrau W 16 8 2 6 28:30 26
5 Kaisar Kyzylorda W 15 8 1 6 23:30 25
6 Ordabasy W 16 5 3 8 16:39 18
7 Zhetysu W 16 4 3 9 22:43 15
8 Ulytau W 16 1 1 14 5:70 4
9 Kaspij Aktau W 15 0 3 12 1:67 3
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aktobe W 18 18 0 0 166:2 54
2 Zhenis Astana W 18 14 1 3 71:34 43
3 Kyzylzhar W 18 13 2 3 66:14 41
4 Yelimay Semey W 18 9 1 8 35:28 28
5 Shakhter Karagandy W 18 7 2 9 16:69 23
6 FC Astana W 18 7 1 10 24:55 22
7 Tobol W 18 7 1 10 16:48 22
8 Ertis Pavlodar W 18 5 3 10 20:43 18
9 Altai W 18 1 3 14 10:65 6
10 Okzhetpes W 18 2 0 16 13:79 6
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)