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Zhenis vs Aktobe

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Astana Arena, Astana
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Tanzharikov A.
10' Event
Tursynbay S.
44'
Nani

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Zhenis and Aktobe finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zhenis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Zhenis
30%
Draws
47%
Aktobe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aktobe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Zhenis haven't matched Aktobe's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Zhenis taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Zhenis Clean Sheet 16%
Aktobe Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhenis Aktobe
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.19 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Premier League
Zhenis vs Aktobe
1:0
Aug 3, 2025 Premier League
Aktobe vs Zhenis
0:2
May 3, 2025 Premier League
Zhenis vs Aktobe
0:1
Apr 13, 2025 Kazakhstan Cup
Zhenis vs Aktobe
1:0
Aug 4, 2024 Premier League
Zhenis vs Aktobe
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zhenis Compare

Top Goalscorer Tursynbay S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Aktobe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhenis 36 / 100
Aktobe 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhenis Aktobe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zhenis scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Aktobe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Zhenis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zhenis VS Aktobe
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zhenis

(Home)
15 Aug
Zhenis
4 : 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
02 Aug
Zhenis
0 : 0
Yelimay Semey
29 Jul
Kaisar Kyzylorda
3 : 1
Zhenis
26 Jul
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 2
Zhenis
18 Jul
Zhenis
1 : 1
Ulytau
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Aktobe

(Away)
15 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 2
Aktobe
09 Aug
Atyrau
1 : 1
Aktobe
01 Aug
Kyzylzhar
3 : 1
Aktobe
25 Jul
Aktobe
2 : 1
Okzhetpes
19 Jul
Altai
2 : 4
Aktobe
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 22 16 4 2 43:16 52
2 Kairat Almaty 21 14 6 1 42:15 48
3 FC Astana 21 11 6 4 34:22 39
4 Okzhetpes 22 10 6 6 32:29 36
5 Aktobe 22 10 5 7 32:26 35
6 Yelimay Semey 21 8 8 5 31:26 32
7 Ulytau 22 7 7 8 18:24 28
8 Zhenis 21 6 8 7 21:24 26
9 Tobol 21 7 4 10 23:28 25
10 Kaspij Aktau 22 6 5 11 24:31 23
11 Kyzylzhar 22 6 5 11 24:32 23
12 Atyrau 21 3 11 7 15:21 20
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 21 3 11 7 16:24 20
14 Altai 22 4 7 11 20:33 19
15 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 22 4 7 11 24:38 19
16 Ertis Pavlodar 21 3 8 10 20:30 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)