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Zhenis vs Atyrau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Astana Arena, Astana
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zhenis host Atyrau in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Atyrau have shipped 1.18 goals a game lately, while Zhenis have conceded 1.28 and scored 1.31. Head-to-head, Zhenis have won 1 to Atyrau's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 20, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.44 - 1.19) back Zhenis to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Zhenis
15%
Draws
28%
Atyrau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zhenis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zhenis lately — more wins on the board than Atyrau.
  • Win probability leans Zhenis's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Zhenis Clean Sheet 68%
Atyrau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhenis Atyrau
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 5
Draws 7 11
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.31 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Premier League
Atyrau vs Zhenis
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
Atyrau vs Zhenis
1:1
Jun 21, 2025 Premier League
Zhenis vs Atyrau
2:0
Sep 21, 2024 Premier League
Atyrau vs Zhenis
2:1
Jun 2, 2024 Premier League
Zhenis vs Atyrau
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhenis 59 / 100
Atyrau 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhenis Atyrau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zhenis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zhenis found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Atyrau has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Atyrau registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zhenis VS Atyrau
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zhenis

(Home)
18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1
Zhenis
12 Sept
Zhenis
3 : 1
Kyzylzhar
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0
Zhenis
05 Sept
Aktobe
1 : 0
Zhenis
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0
Altai
Page 1 of 6

Atyrau

(Away)
17 Sept
Atyrau
0 : 3
Ordabasy
12 Sept
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 0
Atyrau
05 Sept
Kyzylzhar
0 : 1
Atyrau
30 Aug
Atyrau
2 : 3
FC Astana
16 Aug
Atyrau
0 : 2
Okzhetpes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 26 17 6 3 51:20 57
3 FC Astana 25 14 6 5 42:25 48
4 Okzhetpes 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
5 Aktobe 26 12 6 8 38:31 42
6 Yelimay Semey 25 10 8 7 35:33 38
7 Tobol 26 10 4 12 33:35 34
8 Zhenis 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ulytau 26 8 8 10 24:32 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Ertis Pavlodar 25 6 8 11 26:34 26
12 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
14 Kyzylzhar 26 6 6 14 26:40 24
15 Atyrau 25 4 11 10 18:28 23
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 5 7 14 26:44 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)