Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zhenis vs Kyzylzhar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Astana Arena, Astana
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Gubarev N.
31' Event
Imnadze L.
35' Event
Urosevic S.
Assist: Bjartalid J.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Zhenis and Kyzylzhar finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zhenis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Zhenis
20%
Draws
20%
Kyzylzhar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zhenis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Zhenis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Zhenis's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Zhenis Clean Sheet 68%
Kyzylzhar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhenis Kyzylzhar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.31 1
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Premier League
Zhenis vs Kyzylzhar
3:1
May 13, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Zhenis vs Kyzylzhar
2:0
Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Kyzylzhar vs Zhenis
4:0
Aug 16, 2025 Premier League
Kyzylzhar vs Zhenis
1:1
May 18, 2025 Premier League
Zhenis vs Kyzylzhar
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zhenis Compare

Top Goalscorer Imnadze L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Kyzylzhar Compare

Top Goalscorer Urosevic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhenis 95 / 100
Kyzylzhar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhenis Kyzylzhar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zhenis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kyzylzhar let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Zhenis's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Away concern: Kyzylzhar has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zhenis VS Kyzylzhar
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zhenis

(Home)
18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1
Zhenis
12 Sept
Zhenis
3 : 1
Kyzylzhar
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0
Zhenis
05 Sept
Aktobe
1 : 0
Zhenis
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0
Altai
Page 1 of 6

Kyzylzhar

(Away)
18 Sept
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
Kaisar Kyzylorda
12 Sept
Zhenis
3 : 1
Kyzylzhar
05 Sept
Kyzylzhar
0 : 1
Atyrau
29 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 0
Kyzylzhar
16 Aug
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
FC Astana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 26 17 6 3 51:20 57
3 FC Astana 25 14 6 5 42:25 48
4 Okzhetpes 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
5 Aktobe 26 12 6 8 38:31 42
6 Yelimay Semey 25 10 8 7 35:33 38
7 Tobol 26 10 4 12 33:35 34
8 Zhenis 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ulytau 26 8 8 10 24:32 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Ertis Pavlodar 25 6 8 11 26:34 26
12 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
14 Kyzylzhar 26 6 6 14 26:40 24
15 Atyrau 25 4 11 10 18:28 23
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 5 7 14 26:44 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)