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Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Kaspij Aktau Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Žetisu Stadion, Taldykorgan
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Zhakipbayev M. In: Adakhadziev A.
Out: Zhakipbayev M.
50'
Adakhadziev A.
60'
Sub
Sylla K. In: Abylaykhan R.
Out: Sylla K.

AI Match Summary

Kaspij Aktau in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kaspij Aktau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
15%
Draws
59%
Kaspij Aktau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaspij Aktau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Kaspij Aktau have won more games recently than Zhetysu Taldykorgan.
  • Win probability leans Kaspij Aktau's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Zhetysu Taldykorgan Clean Sheet 10%
Kaspij Aktau Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhetysu Taldykorgan Kaspij Aktau
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Premier League
Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Kaspij Aktau
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 Premier League
Kaspij Aktau vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0:1
Jul 20, 2024 League Cup
Kaspij Aktau vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan
2:1
Jul 16, 2023 Premier League
Kaspij Aktau vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1:2
Jun 4, 2023 Premier League
Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Kaspij Aktau
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zhetysu Taldykorgan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Kaspij Aktau Compare

Top Goalscorer Klimovich V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhetysu Taldykorgan 10 / 100
Kaspij Aktau 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhetysu Taldykorgan Kaspij Aktau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaspij Aktau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zhetysu Taldykorgan scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Kaspij Aktau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Zhetysu Taldykorgan stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zhetysu Taldykorgan VS Kaspij Aktau
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zhetysu Taldykorgan

(Home)
18 Sept
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0 : 1
Kaspij Aktau
12 Sept
Yelimay Semey
2 : 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
05 Sept
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1 : 0
Ertis Pavlodar
29 Aug
Ulytau
3 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
15 Aug
Zhenis
4 : 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
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Kaspij Aktau

(Away)
18 Sept
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0 : 1
Kaspij Aktau
12 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 2
Aktobe
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3
Kairat Almaty
30 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 0
Tobol
16 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
2 : 2
Yelimay Semey
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 26 17 6 3 51:20 57
3 FC Astana 25 14 6 5 42:25 48
4 Okzhetpes 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
5 Aktobe 26 12 6 8 38:31 42
6 Yelimay Semey 25 10 8 7 35:33 38
7 Tobol 26 10 4 12 33:35 34
8 Zhenis 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ulytau 26 8 8 10 24:32 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Ertis Pavlodar 25 6 8 11 26:34 26
12 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
14 Kyzylzhar 26 6 6 14 26:40 24
15 Atyrau 25 4 11 10 18:28 23
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 5 7 14 26:44 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)