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Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Ordabasy Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Žetisu Stadion, Taldykorgan
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Abzalov S.
12'
Nurbol N.
18' Event
Astanov E.
Assist: Amanovic A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Zhetysu Taldykorgan and Ordabasy finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ordabasy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
15%
Draws
68%
Ordabasy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ordabasy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Zhetysu Taldykorgan haven't matched Ordabasy's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ordabasy's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ordabasy have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Zhetysu Taldykorgan Clean Sheet 10%
Ordabasy Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhetysu Taldykorgan Ordabasy
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 25
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 3
Goals Scored 1.1 2.22
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Premier League
Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Ordabasy
0:4
May 17, 2026 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan
2:1
May 13, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Ordabasy vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1:0
Jul 20, 2025 Premier League
Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Ordabasy
1:0
Apr 19, 2025 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zhetysu Taldykorgan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ordabasy Compare

Top Goalscorer Astanov E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leo Natel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhetysu Taldykorgan 10 / 100
Ordabasy 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhetysu Taldykorgan Ordabasy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ordabasy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zhetysu Taldykorgan's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Ordabasy let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: Zhetysu Taldykorgan remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zhetysu Taldykorgan VS Ordabasy
0.63 Goals Scored 2.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Zhetysu Taldykorgan

(Home)
18 Sept
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0 : 1
Kaspij Aktau
12 Sept
Yelimay Semey
2 : 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
05 Sept
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1 : 0
Ertis Pavlodar
29 Aug
Ulytau
3 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
15 Aug
Zhenis
4 : 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
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Ordabasy

(Away)
17 Sept
Atyrau
0 : 3
Ordabasy
12 Sept
Ordabasy
1 : 0
FC Astana
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1
Ordabasy
29 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 0
Kyzylzhar
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2
Ordabasy
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 26 17 6 3 51:20 57
3 FC Astana 25 14 6 5 42:25 48
4 Okzhetpes 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
5 Aktobe 26 12 6 8 38:31 42
6 Yelimay Semey 25 10 8 7 35:33 38
7 Tobol 26 10 4 12 33:35 34
8 Zhenis 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ulytau 26 8 8 10 24:32 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Ertis Pavlodar 25 6 8 11 26:34 26
12 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
14 Kyzylzhar 26 6 6 14 26:40 24
15 Atyrau 25 4 11 10 18:28 23
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 5 7 14 26:44 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)